Tsirikos Athanasios I, Chang Wei-Ning, Dabney Kirk W, Miller Freeman, Glutting Joseph
Department of Orthopaedics, University of Athens, KAT Hospital, Athens, Greece.
Dev Med Child Neurol. 2003 Oct;45(10):677-82. doi: 10.1017/s0012162203001269.
The aim of this study was to document the rate of survival among 288 severely affected pediatric patients (154 females, 134 males) with spasticity and neuromuscular scoliosis who underwent spinal fusion (mean age at surgery 13 years 11 months, SD 3 years 4 months), and to identify exposure variables that could significantly predict survival times. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed demonstrating a mean predicted survival of 11 years 2 months after spinal surgery for this group of globally involved children with cerebral palsy (CP). Cox's proportional hazards model was used to evaluate predictive efficacy of exposure variables, such as sex, age at surgery, level of ambulation, cognitive ability, degree of coronal and sagittal plane spinal deformity, intraoperative blood loss, surgical time, days in hospital, and days in the intensive care unit. Number of days in intensive care unit after surgery and the presence of severe preoperative thoracic hyperkyphosis were the only factors affecting survival rates. This demonstrated statistically significant predictability for decreased life expectancy after spinal fusion in children with CP.
本研究的目的是记录288例患有痉挛和神经肌肉型脊柱侧弯的重症儿科患者(154例女性,134例男性)接受脊柱融合手术(手术平均年龄13岁11个月,标准差3岁4个月)后的生存率,并确定能够显著预测生存时间的暴露变量。进行了Kaplan-Meier生存分析,结果显示,对于这组全身性受累的脑瘫(CP)患儿,脊柱手术后的平均预测生存期为11年2个月。使用Cox比例风险模型评估暴露变量的预测效力,这些变量包括性别、手术年龄、行走水平、认知能力、冠状面和矢状面脊柱畸形程度、术中失血量、手术时间、住院天数以及重症监护病房住院天数。术后重症监护病房住院天数和术前严重胸椎后凸的存在是影响生存率的唯一因素。这表明,CP患儿脊柱融合术后预期寿命降低具有统计学意义的可预测性。