Huncharek Michael, Kupelnick Bruce, Wheeler Lamar
Department of Clinical Oncology, Marshfield Clinic Cancer Center, Marshfield, Wisconsin, USA.
J Environ Pathol Toxicol Oncol. 2003;22(2):129-37. doi: 10.1615/jenvpathtoxoncol.v22.i2.60.
N-nitroso compounds (NOCs) are recognized neural carcinogens in animal models and are suspected human carcinogens. A meta-analysis was performed examining the possible association of dietary N-nitroso intake from cured meats and the risk of gliomas in adults.
A prospective protocol was developed outlining the intent, methods, and statistical analysis of the meta-analysis. Data from nine epidemiological studies were pooled using a general variance-based meta-analytic method employing confidence intervals as described by Greenland. The outcome of interest was a summary relative risk (SRR) reflecting the risk of brain tumor (glioma) development associated with high dietary intake of cured meats (as defined by individual study investigators). Sensitivity analyses were performed when necessary to explain any observed statistical heterogeneity.
Nine observational studies met protocol-specified inclusion criteria. Analysis for heterogeneity demonstrated a lack of statistical heterogeneity (p = 0.58). Pooling the data on dietary cured meat intake of all types yielded an RR of 1.48 (1.20-1.83), suggesting a 48% increased risk of glioma development among adults ingesting high levels of cured meat. Analyzing brain tumor risk by meat type yielded an RR of 0.90 (0.63-1.25) for hotdogs (a nonstatistically significant result), 1.31 (1.00-1.71) for bacon, and 1.64 (1.27-2.14) for ham. Sensitivity analyses showed that the failure of most studies to adjust for total energy intake might lead to a spurious positive association between cured meat intake and brain tumor risk. Insufficient data were available for analyzing dose-response relationships, although a few individual studies showed evidence of increasing risk with increasing cured meat intake.
The available data do not provide clear support for the suspected causal association between ingestion of NOCs from cured meat in adults and subsequent brain tumor risk. Uncontrolled confounding may account for the previously noted positive association seen in some epidemiological studies.
N-亚硝基化合物(NOCs)在动物模型中被确认为神经致癌物,并且被怀疑是人类致癌物。开展了一项荟萃分析,以研究成人从腌制肉类中摄入的膳食N-亚硝基化合物与患胶质瘤风险之间的可能关联。
制定了一项前瞻性方案,概述了荟萃分析的目的、方法和统计分析。使用基于一般方差的荟萃分析方法(采用Greenland所述的置信区间)汇总了9项流行病学研究的数据。感兴趣的结果是汇总相对风险(SRR),反映与高膳食腌制肉类摄入量(由各研究调查人员定义)相关的脑肿瘤(胶质瘤)发生风险。必要时进行敏感性分析,以解释任何观察到的统计异质性。
9项观察性研究符合方案规定的纳入标准。异质性分析显示不存在统计异质性(p = 0.58)。汇总所有类型的膳食腌制肉类摄入量数据得出RR为1.48(1.20 - 1.83),表明摄入大量腌制肉类的成年人患胶质瘤的风险增加了48%。按肉类类型分析脑肿瘤风险,热狗的RR为0.90(0.63 - 1.25)(无统计学意义的结果),培根为1.31(1.00 - 1.71),火腿为1.64(1.27 - 2.14)。敏感性分析表明,大多数研究未对总能量摄入进行调整,可能导致腌制肉类摄入量与脑肿瘤风险之间出现虚假的正相关。虽然有一些个别研究显示出随着腌制肉类摄入量增加风险上升的证据,但可用于分析剂量反应关系的数据不足。
现有数据并未明确支持成人从腌制肉类中摄入NOCs与随后患脑肿瘤风险之间存在可疑的因果关联。未控制的混杂因素可能解释了一些流行病学研究中先前观察到的正相关。