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对广岛和长崎幸存者的研究及其在估算辐射风险中的应用。

Studies on the Hiroshima and Nagasaki survivors, and their use in estimating radiation risks.

作者信息

Muirhead C R

机构信息

National Radiological Protection Board, Chilton, Didcot, Oxon OX11 0RQ, UK.

出版信息

Radiat Prot Dosimetry. 2003;104(4):331-5. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.rpd.a006196.

Abstract

Epidemiological studies of the survivors of the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki have been conducted over many years. These studies have examined, inter alia, mortality and cancer incidence among the survivors. This paper summarises the form of the studies undertaken, outlines the main findings and describes how these results can be used in deriving estimates of radiation risks. In doing so, some areas of uncertainty and open issues are highlighted, such as the magnitude of lifetime cancer risks and the evidence for raised risks of non-cancer diseases at low doses. Continued follow-up of the survivors will be important in shedding further light on these issues.

摘要

对广岛和长崎原子弹爆炸幸存者的流行病学研究已经开展多年。这些研究尤其考察了幸存者的死亡率和癌症发病率。本文总结了所开展研究的形式,概述了主要发现,并描述了如何利用这些结果来推导辐射风险的估计值。在此过程中,突出了一些不确定性领域和未决问题,例如终生患癌风险的大小以及低剂量下非癌症疾病风险增加的证据。对幸存者的持续随访对于进一步阐明这些问题将具有重要意义。

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