Steinmaus Craig, Yuan Yan, Bates Michael N, Smith Allan H
Division of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Am J Epidemiol. 2003 Dec 15;158(12):1193-201. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwg281.
Numerous epidemiologic investigations have identified links between high concentrations of arsenic in drinking water and cancer, although the risks at lower exposures are largely unknown. This paper presents the results of a case-control study of arsenic ingestion and bladder cancer in seven counties in the western United States. These counties contain the largest populations historically exposed to drinking water arsenic at concentrations near 100 microg/liter. All incident cases diagnosed from 1994 to 2000 were recruited. Individual data on water sources, water consumption patterns, smoking, and other factors were collected for 181 cases and 328 controls. Overall, no increased risks were identified for arsenic intakes greater than 80 microg/day (odds ratio=0.94, 95% confidence interval: 0.56, 1.57; linear trend, p=0.48). These risks are below predictions based on high dose studies from Taiwan. When the analysis was focused on exposures 40 or more years ago, an odds ratio of 3.67 (95% confidence interval: 1.43, 9.42; linear trend, p<0.01) was identified for intakes greater than 80 microg/day (median intake, 177 microg/day) in smokers. These data provide some evidence that smokers who ingest arsenic at concentrations near 200 microg/day may be at increased risk of bladder cancer.
众多流行病学调查已确定饮用水中高浓度砷与癌症之间存在关联,不过低暴露水平下的风险大多未知。本文介绍了美国西部七个县关于砷摄入与膀胱癌的病例对照研究结果。这些县有着历史上最大规模的人群,曾暴露于浓度接近100微克/升的饮用水砷环境中。招募了所有在1994年至2000年期间确诊的新发病例。收集了181例病例和328例对照的水源、用水模式、吸烟及其他因素的个体数据。总体而言,未发现每日砷摄入量大于80微克时风险增加(优势比=0.94,95%置信区间:0.56,1.57;线性趋势,p=0.48)。这些风险低于基于台湾高剂量研究的预测值。当分析聚焦于40多年前的暴露情况时,吸烟者每日砷摄入量大于80微克(中位摄入量为177微克/天)的优势比为3.67(95%置信区间:1.43,9.42;线性趋势,p<0.01)。这些数据提供了一些证据,表明每日摄入浓度接近200微克砷的吸烟者患膀胱癌的风险可能会增加。