Póvoa Marinete M, Conn Jan E, Schlichting Carl D, Amaral Jane C O F, Segura M Nazaré O, Da Silva Ana N M, Dos Santos Carla C B, Lacerda Raimundo N L, De Souza Raimundo T L, Galiza Deocleciano, Santa Rosa Edvaldo P, Wirtz Robert A
Programa de Pesquisas em Malaria, Instituto Evandro Chagas/FUNASA, Br 316, km 7, s/n CEP 67.030-000, Ananindeu, Pará, Brazil.
J Med Entomol. 2003 Jul;40(4):379-86. doi: 10.1603/0022-2585-40.4.379.
An evaluation of malaria transmission and epidemiology in the Amazonian city of Belém over the last 70 years shows that (1) Anopheles darlingi, reported to be eradicated in 1968, reappeared in the mid 1990s, with a marked increase in abundance between 1997 to 1999 in two of three districts sampled; (2) An. darlingi and An. aquasalis are each implicated in current malaria transmission in different districts of the city; (3) mosquito species diversity (in Anopheles subgenus Nyssorhynchus) has increased from two in the 1930s to six in the 1940s to 10 in the 1990s; (4) there is no overall correlation between malaria case incidence and human population size from 1940 to 1996 in Belém; (5) however, the total number of malaria cases has increased significantly since the late 1970s and over the short term from 1993 to 1999; and (6) interestingly, the short term increases are due solely to cases of Plasmodium vivax infection; cases of P. falciparum malaria are declining (significantly for Pará state only). The reappearance of An. darlingi may be a result of the continued expansion of Belém into the surrounding forest in the 1990s. In the absence of preventative measures, we predict an increase in local outbreaks of malaria in the DAENT and DAICO districts where the population sizes of An. darlingi are increasing.
对亚马逊城市贝伦过去70年疟疾传播与流行病学的评估表明:(1)据报道于1968年被根除的达林按蚊在20世纪90年代中期再度出现,在三个抽样地区中的两个地区,其数量在1997年至1999年间显著增加;(2)达林按蚊和环喙按蚊在该市不同地区的当前疟疾传播中均有涉及;(3)蚊种多样性(在尼氏按蚊亚属中)已从20世纪30年代的两种增加到40年代的六种,再到90年代的十种;(4)1940年至1996年期间,贝伦的疟疾病例发病率与人口规模之间没有总体相关性;(5)然而,自20世纪70年代末以来,疟疾病例总数显著增加,且在1993年至1999年短期内也有所增加;(6)有趣的是,短期增加完全是由于间日疟原虫感染病例;恶性疟病例正在减少(仅帕拉州显著)。达林按蚊的再度出现可能是20世纪90年代贝伦持续向周边森林扩张的结果。在缺乏预防措施的情况下,我们预测在达林按蚊数量增加的DAENT和DAICO地区,当地疟疾疫情将增加。