Taroni F, Biedermann A, Garbolino P, Aitken C G G
Institut de Police Scientifique et de Criminologie, The University of Lausanne, BCH, 1015, Lausanne-Dorigny, Switzerland.
Forensic Sci Int. 2004 Jan 6;139(1):5-16. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2003.08.004.
Bayesian networks (BNs) are mathematically and statistically rigorous techniques for handling uncertainty. The field of forensic science has recently attributed increased attention to the many advantages of this graphical method for assisting the evaluation of scientific evidence. However, the majority of contributions that relate to this topic restrict themselves to the presentation of already "constructed" BNs, and often, only a few explanations are given as to how one obtains a specific BN structure for a given problem. Based on several examples, the present paper will therefore attempt to explain in more detail some guiding considerations that might be helpful for the elicitation of appropriate structures for BNs.
贝叶斯网络(BNs)是处理不确定性的数学和统计严谨的技术。法医学领域最近越来越关注这种图形方法在协助评估科学证据方面的诸多优势。然而,与该主题相关的大多数贡献都局限于展示已经“构建好”的贝叶斯网络,而且通常对于如何针对给定问题获得特定的贝叶斯网络结构只给出了很少的解释。因此,基于几个例子,本文将尝试更详细地解释一些指导性的考虑因素,这些因素可能有助于引出合适的贝叶斯网络结构。