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急诊医学中两治疗、两阶段交叉试验的分析。

Analysis of two-treatment, two-period crossover trials in emergency medicine.

作者信息

Reed James F

机构信息

Research Institute, St. Luke's Hospital and Health Network, Bethlehem, PA 18015, USA.

出版信息

Ann Emerg Med. 2004 Jan;43(1):54-8. doi: 10.1016/s0196-0644(03)00661-9.

Abstract

In an AB/BA crossover trial, patients are randomly assigned to receive either treastment A in the first period followed by treatment B in the second period or treatment B in the first period followed by treatment A in the second period. The crossover trial allows for a within-patient comparison between treatments because each patient serves as his or her own control subject, removes the interpatient variability from the comparison between treatments, and can provide unbiased estimates for the differences between treatments. When applied inappropriately, crossover designs have serious problems that might adversely influence and invalidate their results. The primary concern is the residual carryover effect of a treatment in subsequent treatment periods. Rather than depending on a statistical procedure to eliminate the possibility of the presence of carryover effects, it is more important that the crossover design be used only in those situations in which the likelihood of a carryover effect is exceptionally small. Even though the AB/BA crossover trial appeals to the physician researcher, it is surprisingly difficult to take advantage of this design. The primary objective of this article is to introduce readers and trialists to some of the issues surrounding crossover trials. Researchers who use this design should explicitly examine the assumptions about crossover effects and the adequacy of the lead-in washout period and the between-period washout period and clearly indicate that the results of the study are conditional on the acceptance of those conditions.

摘要

在AB/BA交叉试验中,患者被随机分配,要么在第一阶段接受治疗A,在第二阶段接受治疗B;要么在第一阶段接受治疗B,在第二阶段接受治疗A。交叉试验允许在患者内部对治疗方法进行比较,因为每个患者都作为自己的对照对象,消除了患者间变异性对治疗方法比较的影响,并且能够为治疗方法之间的差异提供无偏估计。如果应用不当,交叉设计会存在严重问题,可能会对其结果产生不利影响并使其无效。主要问题是一种治疗方法在后续治疗阶段的残留效应。与其依靠统计程序来消除残留效应存在的可能性,更重要的是交叉设计只应在残留效应可能性极小的情况下使用。尽管AB/BA交叉试验对医师研究者有吸引力,但利用这种设计却出奇地困难。本文的主要目的是向读者和试验者介绍一些与交叉试验相关的问题。使用这种设计的研究者应明确检验关于交叉效应的假设以及导入期洗脱期和各阶段间洗脱期的充分性,并清楚表明研究结果是以接受这些条件为前提的。

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