Howlin Patricia, Goode Susan, Hutton Jane, Rutter Michael
Department of Psychology, St George's Hospital Medical School, London, UK.
J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 2004 Feb;45(2):212-29. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-7610.2004.00215.x.
Information on long-term prognosis in autism is limited. Outcome is known to be poor for those with an IQ below 50, but there have been few systematic studies of individuals with an IQ above this.
Sixty-eight individuals meeting criteria for autism and with a performance IQ of 50 or above in childhood were followed up as adults. Their mean age when first seen was 7 years (range 3-15 years); at follow-up the average age was 29 years (range 21-48 years). Outcome measures included standardised cognitive, language and attainment tests. Information on social, communication and behavioural problems was obtained from the Autism Diagnostic Interview (ADI).
Although a minority of adults had achieved relatively high levels of independence, most remained very dependent on their families or other support services. Few lived alone, had close friends, or permanent employment. Communication generally was impaired, and reading and spelling abilities were poor. Stereotyped behaviours or interests frequently persisted into adulthood. Ten individuals had developed epilepsy. Overall, only 12% were rated as having a 'Very Good' outcome; 10% were rated as 'Good' and 19% as 'Fair'. The majority was rated as having a 'Poor' (46%) or 'Very Poor' (12%) outcome. Individuals with a childhood performance IQ of at least 70 had a significantly better outcome than those with an IQ below this. However, within the normal IQ range outcome was very variable and, on an individual level, neither verbal nor performance IQ proved to be consistent prognostic indicators.
Although outcome for adults with autism has improved over recent years, many remain highly dependent on others for support. This study provides some information on prognostic indicators, but more fine-grained research is needed into the childhood variables that are associated with good or poor outcome.
关于自闭症长期预后的信息有限。已知智商低于50的患者预后较差,但对于智商高于此水平的个体,系统研究较少。
对68名符合自闭症标准且童年期操作智商为50或以上的个体进行成年后的随访。他们首次就诊时的平均年龄为7岁(范围3 - 15岁);随访时的平均年龄为29岁(范围21 - 48岁)。结局指标包括标准化认知、语言和学业测试。从自闭症诊断访谈(ADI)中获取有关社交、沟通和行为问题的信息。
虽然少数成年人实现了相对较高程度的独立,但大多数人仍然非常依赖家人或其他支持服务。很少有人独自生活、有亲密朋友或固定工作。沟通普遍受损,阅读和拼写能力较差。刻板行为或兴趣常常持续到成年期。10名个体患上了癫痫。总体而言,只有12%被评为“非常好”的结局;10%被评为“好”,19%被评为“一般”。大多数被评为“差”(46%)或“非常差”(12%)的结局。童年期操作智商至少为70的个体的结局明显好于智商低于此水平的个体。然而,在正常智商范围内,结局差异很大,而且就个体而言,言语智商和操作智商都不是一致的预后指标。
尽管近年来自闭症成年患者的结局有所改善,但许多人仍然高度依赖他人的支持。本研究提供了一些预后指标的信息,但需要对与良好或不良结局相关的童年变量进行更细致的研究。