Graedel T E, Bertram M, Kapur A, Reck B, Spatari S
Center for Industrial Ecology, School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06511, USA.
Environ Sci Technol. 2004 Feb 15;38(4):1253-61. doi: 10.1021/es0304345.
A comprehensive multilevel contemporary cycle for stocks and flows of copper is analyzed by the tools of exploratory data analysis (EDA). The analysis is performed at three discrete spatial levels--country (56 countries or country groups that comprise essentially all anthropogenic stocks and flows of copper), eight world regions, and the planet as a whole. Among the most interesting results are the following: (1) EDA is employable and valuable for use in the analysis of material flows, especially those across multiple spatial levels; (2) All distributions of country-level stock and flow data are highly skewed, a few countries having large magnitudes, many having small magnitudes; (3) Rates of fabrication of copper-containing products for the countries are poorly correlated with rates of extraction, reflecting the fact that many countries that extract copper do not fabricate products from copper to any significant degree and vice versa; (4) Virtually all countries are adding copper to stock (in pipe, wire, etc.); These rates of addition are highly correlated with rates of copper entering use in all regions and are higher in regions under vigorous development; (5) With weak confidence, the rate of copper landfilling by regions is about one-half the rate of copper discarded; (6) The statistical distributions of both country-level and regional-level copper cycle parameters have successively lower standard deviations at later life stages; and (7) Copper flow distributions at different life stages tend to reflect those of lower spatial level extreme values, but Asia's and Europe's regional patterns are much more reflective of country-level distributions as a whole.
运用探索性数据分析(EDA)工具,对铜存量与流量的综合多层次当代循环进行了分析。该分析在三个离散的空间层面开展——国家层面(56个国家或国家集团,基本涵盖了所有铜的人为存量与流量)、八个世界区域以及整个地球。其中一些最有趣的结果如下:(1)EDA可用于材料流分析,尤其是跨多个空间层面的材料流分析,且具有重要价值;(2)国家层面的存量与流量数据的所有分布都高度不均衡,少数国家数量巨大,多数国家数量较小;(3)各国含铜产品的制造率与铜的开采率相关性较差,这反映出许多开采铜的国家在很大程度上并不制造铜产品,反之亦然;(4)几乎所有国家都在增加铜存量(如管道、电线等中的铜);这些增加率与所有区域铜进入使用阶段的速率高度相关,且在蓬勃发展的区域更高;(5)在可信度较低的情况下,各区域铜的填埋率约为铜废弃率的一半;(6)国家层面和区域层面铜循环参数的统计分布在后期使用阶段的标准差依次降低;(7)不同使用阶段的铜流分布往往反映较低空间层面的极值分布,但亚洲和欧洲的区域模式整体上更能反映国家层面的分布。