Shepard Donald S, Suaya Jose A, Halstead Scott B, Nathan Michael B, Gubler Duane J, Mahoney Richard T, Wang Daniel N C, Meltzer Martin I
Schneider Institute for Health Policy, Heller School, Room G19, Mail Stop 035, Brandeis University, Waltham, MA 02454-9110, USA.
Vaccine. 2004 Mar 12;22(9-10):1275-80. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2003.09.019.
To ascertain the economic feasibility of a pediatric tetravalent dengue vaccine, we developed and calibrated a cost-effectiveness model of vaccinating children at 15 months in Southeast (SE) Asia using a societal perspective. We assumed that full immunization would require two doses at prices of US$ 0.50 and US$ 10 per dose in the public and private sectors, respectively. The gross cost per 1000 population (of all ages) of the vaccination program would be US$ 154. Due to projected savings in dengue treatment, the net cost per capita would be only US$ 17 (89% below the gross cost). The cost per disability adjusted life year (DALY) saved by a pediatric vaccine would be US$ 50, making the potential vaccine highly cost-effective. Eventually, vaccination may be able to replace environmental control as a strategy for dengue prevention and be cost saving.
为确定一种儿科四价登革热疫苗的经济可行性,我们从社会视角出发,开发并校准了一个在东南亚为15个月大儿童接种疫苗的成本效益模型。我们假设全面免疫需要两剂疫苗,在公共部门和私营部门每剂价格分别为0.50美元和10美元。疫苗接种计划每1000人口(所有年龄段)的总成本将为154美元。由于预计登革热治疗费用会节省,人均净成本仅为17美元(比总成本低89%)。儿科疫苗每挽救一个伤残调整生命年(DALY)的成本将为50美元,这使得该潜在疫苗具有很高的成本效益。最终,疫苗接种可能能够取代环境控制成为预防登革热的策略并节省成本。