Ten-year survival after radical prostatectomy: specimen Gleason score is the predictor in organ-confined prostate cancer.

Pathologic stage is a major prognostic factor in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer. However, disease recurrence occurs even in patients with organ-confined disease. With the advent of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing, the percentage of patients with pathologically organ-confined tumors has increased significantly. We studied clinical/pathologic factors that will predict disease recurrence in patients with pathologically organ-confined tumors. Patients with clinically localized newly diagnosed prostate cancer who had not received prior therapeutic intervention but who underwent radical prostatectomy as definitive treatment between 1990 and 1999, were included in this study. Clinical/pathologic parameters including age, race, clinical stage, preoperative PSA, and biopsy and specimen Gleason scores (grouped as 2-6, 7, and 8-10) were correlated with disease-free survival in patients with organ-confined disease. Metastasis-free and cancer-specific survival for the cohort was also assessed. A total of 1045 patients fulfilled our inclusion criteria. Overall, the 10-year estimates of PSA progression-free, metastasis-free, and cancer-specific survival were 75%, 91%, and 92%, respectively. Cancer was confined to the prostate in 532 of 1045 patients (51%), of whom 96% (511 of 532) remain PSA progression-free, compared to 65% (335 of 513) with extraprostatic disease (P = 0.0001). Interestingly, in patients with organ-confined disease, the specimen Gleason score was the only prognostic factor for disease recurrence after multivariable analysis. Radical prostatectomy provided excellent cancer control. For patients with pathologically organ-confined tumors, the specimen Gleason score is the only factor predictive of disease-free survival. Of note, Gleason scores of 8-10 are uncommon in these patients.