Bauer P, Binder K, Husinsky I, Kleinert W, Künkel W, Scheiber V, Uberhuber C W, Westphal G, Wohlzogen F X
Zahn Mund Kieferheilkd Zentralbl. 1978;66(3):227-41.
If results of cross-sectional studies must be used as a basis for setting up models of development of caries in permanent teeth, then the average rather than individual posteruptive age of teeth has to be resorted to. Data available for this purpose had been obtained from a total of 54,000 children living in two G.D.R. cities, namely, Plauen and Karl-Marx-Stadt, as well as from two surveys made in 1959 and 1971, respectively. Calculation of the average posteruptive age of teeth assumes good knowledge of the distribution of dates of eruption in a population. Of the three types of distribution considered, namely, normal, lognormal, and log-logistic distribution, the log-logistic model proved to be superior to others because of better adaptation to the data available. The method of calculating the posteruptive age of teeth is described and illustrated by use of a number of examples. Since one of the two surveys (namely that which was made in Karl-Marx-Stadt in 1971) was made after twelve years' drinking water fluoridation, it was possible to study the effect of fluoridation upon the eruptive behavior of permanent teeth. The results of this study confirmed those obtained during previous investigations.
如果必须将横断面研究的结果用作建立恒牙龋病发展模型的基础,那么就必须采用牙齿萌出后的平均年龄而非个体年龄。为此目的所获得的数据来自民主德国的两个城市(即普劳恩和卡尔 - 马克思城)的总共54,000名儿童,以及分别在1959年和1971年进行的两项调查。计算牙齿萌出后的平均年龄需要充分了解人群中牙齿萌出日期的分布情况。在所考虑的三种分布类型中,即正态分布、对数正态分布和对数逻辑斯蒂分布,对数逻辑斯蒂模型由于对现有数据的适应性更好而被证明优于其他模型。本文描述了计算牙齿萌出后年龄的方法,并通过多个例子进行了说明。由于两项调查之一(即1971年在卡尔 - 马克思城进行的调查)是在饮用水氟化12年后进行的,因此有可能研究氟化对恒牙萌出行为的影响。这项研究的结果证实了先前调查中获得的结果。