Parker Jennifer D, Schenker Nathaniel, Ingram Deborah D, Weed James A, Heck Katherine E, Madans Jennifer H
Office of Analysis, Epidemiology, and Health Promotion, National Center for Health Statistics, 3311 Toledo Rd., Rm. 6415, Hyattsville, MD 20782, USA.
Public Health Rep. 2004 Mar-Apr;119(2):192-205. doi: 10.1177/003335490411900213.
The 2000 Census, which provides denominators used in calculating vital statistics and other rates, allowed multiple-race responses. Many other data systems that provide numerators used in calculating rates collect only single-race data. Bridging is needed to make the numerators and denominators comparable. This report describes and evaluates the method used by the National Center for Health Statistics to bridge multiple-race responses obtained from Census 2000 to single-race categories, creating single-race population estimates that are available to the public.
The authors fitted logistic regression models to multiple-race data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) for 1997-2000. These fitted models, and two bridging methods previously suggested by the Office of Management and Budget, were applied to the public-use Census Modified Race Data Summary file to create single-race population estimates for the U.S. The authors also compared death rates for single-race groups calculated using these three approaches.
Parameter estimates differed between the NHIS models for the multiple-race groups. For example, as the percentage of multiple-race respondents in a county increased, the likelihood of stating black as a primary race increased among black/white respondents but decreased among American Indian or Alaska Native/black respondents. The inclusion of county-level contextual variables in the regression models as well as the underlying demographic differences across states led to variation in allocation percentages; for example, the allocation of black/white respondents to single-race white ranged from nearly zero to more than 50% across states. Death rates calculated using bridging via the NHIS models were similar to those calculated using other methods, except for the American Indian/Alaska Native group, which included a large proportion of multiple-race reporters.
Many data systems do not currently allow multiple-race reporting. When such data systems are used with Census counts to produce race-specific rates, bridging methods that incorporate geographic and demographic factors may lead to better rates than methods that do not consider such factors.
2000年人口普查允许人们进行多种族回答,它提供了用于计算生命统计数据和其他比率的分母。许多其他提供用于计算比率的分子的数据系统只收集单一种族数据。需要进行数据衔接以使分子和分母具有可比性。本报告描述并评估了国家卫生统计中心用于将2000年人口普查中获得的多种族回答衔接至单一种族类别的方法,从而创建可供公众使用的单一种族人口估计数。
作者对1997 - 2000年国家健康访谈调查(NHIS)中的多种族数据拟合了逻辑回归模型。这些拟合模型以及管理和预算办公室先前建议的两种衔接方法被应用于公共使用的人口普查修改后的种族数据汇总文件,以创建美国的单一种族人口估计数。作者还比较了使用这三种方法计算的单一种族群体的死亡率。
多种族群体的NHIS模型之间的参数估计有所不同。例如,随着一个县中多种族受访者的百分比增加,在黑人/白人受访者中,将黑人列为主要种族的可能性增加,但在美洲印第安人或阿拉斯加原住民/黑人受访者中则降低。回归模型中纳入县级背景变量以及各州之间潜在的人口差异导致了分配百分比的变化;例如,黑人/白人受访者分配到单一种族白人的比例在各州范围从几乎为零到超过50%。除了美洲印第安人/阿拉斯加原住民群体(其中包括很大比例的多种族报告者)外,使用NHIS模型进行衔接计算出的死亡率与使用其他方法计算出的死亡率相似。
目前许多数据系统不允许进行多种族报告。当此类数据系统与人口普查计数一起用于生成特定种族的比率时,纳入地理和人口因素的衔接方法可能比不考虑此类因素的方法产生更好的比率。