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2000年美国人口修订对死亡率统计数据的影响。

The effect of revised populations on mortality statistics for the United States, 2000.

作者信息

Anderson Robert N, Arias Elizabeth

机构信息

Division of Vital Statistics, U.S Department of Health & Human Services, National Center for Health Statistics, Hyattsville, Maryland 20782, USA.

出版信息

Natl Vital Stat Rep. 2003 Jun 5;51(9):1-24.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This report presents revised mortality statistics for the year 2000 based on April 1, 2000, population figures from the 2000 census. Death rates are presented by race, Hispanic origin, sex, age, and cause of death. Life expectancies are presented by race (white and black), sex, and age. The revised statistics are compared with previously published statistics that used July 1, 2000, postcensal population estimates based on the 1990 census.

METHODS

Data in this report are based on information from all death certificates filed in the 50 States and the District of Columbia. The statistics presented in this report are computed on the basis of two sets of population figures provided by the U.S. Census Bureau. The first set includes July 1, 2000, postcensal population estimates based on the 1990 decennial census. The second set includes April 1, 2000, populations from the 2000 decennial census bridged to single race categories.

RESULTS

Crude death rates were lower for all groups using the April 1, 2000, populations. Age-specific death rates were generally lower for most age groups, except for infants and the very old for which death rates were higher. Age-specific death rates for males were lower for most age groups, except infants and those 75 years and over. For females, with the exception of infants, age-specific death rates were lower. Race-specific pattems by age for the white and black populations were similar to all races combined. For the American Indian population, age-specific death rates were substantially lower for ages under 75 years. For ages 75 years and over, American Indian death rates were dramatically higher. Age-specific death rates for the Asian or Pacific Islander (API) population were higher for ages under 15 years; lower for ages 15-84 years, especially for the 15-34 year age group; and higher for those 85 years and over. For the Hispanic population, age-specific death rates were substantially lower for those age 15-34 years and higher for those age 55 years and over, especially for those age 85 years and over. For the total white and total black populations, the age-adjusted death rate was somewhat higher for males and lower for females. For API the pattern was reversed. For the American Indian and Hispanic populations, age-adjusted death rates were higher for both males and females. For the 15 leading causes of death, age-adjusted death rates based on the April 1, 2000, population figures were lower for heart disease, cancer, chronic liver disease, septicemia, diabetes, chronic lower respiratory diseases, unintentional injuries, homicide, suicide, and hypertension. Age-adjusted death rates were higher for pneumonitis, Alzheimer's disease, and stroke. Rates were unchanged for influenza and pneumonia and nephritis, nephrotic syndrome and nephrosis. Life expectancy at birth was higher for the entire population and both the white and black populations using the April 1, 2000, population figures. It was 0.1 year higher for the whole population as well as for the total white and total black populations. For the total male population, life expectancy at birth was 0.1 year higher while it was 0.2 years higher for the female population. The increase in life expectancy at birth was 0.1 year for both sexes within the white and black populations. This observed gain in life expectancy at birth based on the revised population figures is reversed for life expectancy at the oldest age groups for the whole population and for males. A similar pattern is observed for both white and black males; however, the magnitude of the decline in life expectancy at older ages is much greater among black males. Among females of both race groups and the total population, there is either no change or an increase in life expectancy in the oldest age groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Revised death rates and life expectancies are, in many cases, significantly different from previously published mortality statistics calculated using 1990-based postcensal estimates for 2000. Thus, previously published mortality statistics for 2000 using the 1990-based populations will not be comparable to the corresponding statistics that will be published for 2001. The data in this report will provide comparable 2000 data. Efforts are also underway to revise previously published mortality tables for 2000 as well as previously published data for 1991-99.

摘要

目的

本报告基于2000年4月1日2000年人口普查的人口数据,呈现了2000年的修订后死亡率统计数据。死亡率按种族、西班牙裔血统、性别、年龄和死因列出。预期寿命按种族(白人及黑人)、性别和年龄列出。将修订后的统计数据与之前发布的统计数据进行比较,之前的统计数据使用的是基于1990年人口普查的2000年7月1日普查后人口估计数。

方法

本报告中的数据基于在美国50个州和哥伦比亚特区提交的所有死亡证明信息。本报告中呈现的统计数据是根据美国人口普查局提供的两组人口数据计算得出的。第一组包括基于1990年十年一次人口普查的2000年7月1日普查后人口估计数。第二组包括2000年十年一次人口普查中2000年4月1日的数据,并按单一种族类别进行了衔接。

结果

使用2000年4月1日的人口数据,所有群体的粗死亡率均较低。除婴儿和高龄人群死亡率较高外,大多数年龄组的年龄别死亡率普遍较低。除婴儿和75岁及以上人群外,大多数年龄组男性的年龄别死亡率较低。对于女性,除婴儿外,年龄别死亡率较低。白人和黑人按年龄划分的种族特定模式与所有种族合并后的模式相似。对于美国印第安人,75岁以下年龄组的年龄别死亡率大幅较低。对于75岁及以上人群,美国印第安人的死亡率显著较高。亚洲或太平洋岛民(API)人群15岁以下年龄组的年龄别死亡率较高;15 - 84岁年龄组较低,尤其是15 - 34岁年龄组;85岁及以上人群较高。对于西班牙裔人群,15 - 34岁年龄组的年龄别死亡率大幅较低,55岁及以上人群较高,尤其是85岁及以上人群。对于白人及黑人总体人群,年龄调整死亡率男性略高,女性略低。对于API人群,模式相反。对于美国印第安人和西班牙裔人群,男性和女性的年龄调整死亡率均较高。对于15种主要死因,基于2000年4月1日人口数据的年龄调整死亡率,心脏病、癌症、慢性肝病、败血症、糖尿病、慢性下呼吸道疾病、意外伤害、杀人、自杀和高血压有所降低。肺炎、阿尔茨海默病和中风的年龄调整死亡率较高。流感和肺炎以及肾炎、肾病综合征和肾病的死亡率不变。使用2000年4月1日的人口数据,全人群以及白人和黑人总体人群的出生时预期寿命均较高。全人群以及白人及黑人总体人群的出生时预期寿命均高出0.1岁。对于男性总体人群,出生时预期寿命高出0.1岁,而女性总体人群高出0.2岁。白人和黑人种族内两性出生时预期寿命的增加均为0.1岁。基于修订后的人口数据观察到的出生时预期寿命增加,在全人群和男性的最高年龄组预期寿命中出现逆转。白人和黑人男性也观察到类似模式;然而,老年男性预期寿命下降的幅度在黑人男性中更大。在两个种族群体的女性以及全人群中,最高年龄组的预期寿命要么没有变化,要么有所增加。

结论

在许多情况下,修订后的死亡率和预期寿命与之前使用基于1990年的2000年普查后估计数计算的死亡率统计数据有显著差异。因此,之前使用基于1990年人口数据发布的2000年死亡率统计数据将无法与2001年将发布的相应统计数据进行比较。本报告中的数据将提供具有可比性的2000年数据。目前也正在努力修订之前发布的2000年死亡率表以及1991 - 99年之前发布的数据。

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