van Asselt Kristel M, Kok Helen S, van Der Schouw Yvonne T, Grobbee Diederick E, te Velde Egbert R, Pearson Peter L, Peeters Petra H M
Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Epidemiology. 2004 Sep;15(5):634-9. doi: 10.1097/01.ede.0000134868.53468.b7.
Smoking has frequently been associated with early menopause. However, studies of this association have been inconclusive with regard to duration and intensity of smoking. A major problem in analyzing the effect of smoking duration on menopausal age is that both exposure and outcome are age-dependent.
We calculated age-specific rates for categories of smoking duration and subsequently computed the rate ratios for occurrence of menopause. We were thus able to model the effect of smoking duration on 2 time scales without assumptions of linearity. We used data from a Dutch population-based cohort comprising 5544 women age 49-70 years who had experienced natural menopause.
The rate ratio (RR) for occurrence of menopause was increased in women who smoked in the year of menopause (RR = 1.41; 95% confidence interval = 1.32-1.50). The rate ratio of former smokers was similar to women who never smoked (0.95; 0.89-1.02). Prolonged exposure of smoking did not materially affect the risk of menopause, although the daily number of cigarettes currently smoked could increase the risk.
Perimenopausal smoking is apparently more important than smoking history in explaining an earlier age of onset of menopause among women who smoke.
吸烟常与早绝经相关。然而,关于这种关联在吸烟持续时间和强度方面的研究尚无定论。分析吸烟持续时间对绝经年龄影响的一个主要问题是暴露因素和结果均与年龄相关。
我们计算了不同吸烟持续时间类别的年龄别发病率,随后计算了绝经发生的率比。因此,我们能够在不做线性假设的情况下,在两个时间尺度上模拟吸烟持续时间的影响。我们使用了来自荷兰一项基于人群的队列研究的数据,该队列包括5544名年龄在49 - 70岁之间经历自然绝经的女性。
在绝经当年吸烟的女性中,绝经发生的率比(RR)升高(RR = 1.41;95%置信区间 = 1.32 - 1.50)。既往吸烟者的率比与从不吸烟者相似(0.95;0.89 - 1.02)。吸烟的长期暴露对绝经风险没有实质性影响,尽管目前每日吸烟量可能会增加风险。
在解释吸烟女性绝经年龄提前方面,围绝经期吸烟显然比吸烟史更重要。