数学建模在循证疟疾控制中的作用。
The role of mathematical modeling in evidence-based malaria control.
作者信息
McKenzie F Ellis, Samba Ebrahim M
机构信息
Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland 20892, USA.
出版信息
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2004 Aug;71(2 Suppl):94-6.
Abstract
Mathematical models have long provided basic insights for malaria control. The recent success of the Onchocerciasis Control Program in west Africa shows that models can make great pragmatic contributions to intervention programs if the modeling is integrated into the overall program, and if the participants are clear about what models can and cannot do. This lesson can be applied to evidence-based malaria control.
摘要
长期以来，数学模型为疟疾防控提供了基本的见解。西非盘尾丝虫病控制项目最近取得的成功表明，如果将建模纳入整个项目，并且参与者清楚模型的作用和局限，那么模型就能为干预项目做出巨大的实际贡献。这一经验教训可应用于循证疟疾防控。
相似文献
1
The role of mathematical modeling in evidence-based malaria control.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2004 Aug;71(2 Suppl):94-6.
2
Efficacy of the mermithid nematode, Romanomermis iyengari, for the biocontrol of Anopheles gambiae, the major malaria vector in sub-Saharan Africa.
Parasit Vectors. 2019 May 22;12(1):253. doi: 10.1186/s13071-019-3508-6.
3
Elevating larval source management as a key strategy for controlling malaria and other vector-borne diseases in Africa.
Parasit Vectors. 2025 Feb 7;18(1):45. doi: 10.1186/s13071-024-06621-x.
4
Piperonyl butoxide (PBO) combined with pyrethroids in insecticide-treated nets to prevent malaria in Africa.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2018 Nov 29;11(11):CD012776. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD012776.pub2.
5
Baseline characterization of entomological drivers of malaria transmission in Namibia: a targeted operational entomological surveillance strategy.
Parasit Vectors. 2023 Jul 5;16(1):220. doi: 10.1186/s13071-023-05822-0.
6
Long-lasting insecticidal nets and the quest for malaria eradication: a mathematical modeling approach.
J Math Biol. 2020 Jul;81(1):113-158. doi: 10.1007/s00285-020-01503-z. Epub 2020 May 23.
7
Current vector control challenges in the fight against malaria.
Acta Trop. 2017 Oct;174:91-96. doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2017.06.028. Epub 2017 Jul 3.
8
Models of effectiveness of interventions against malaria transmitted by Anopheles albimanus.
Malar J. 2019 Aug 1;18(1):263. doi: 10.1186/s12936-019-2899-3.
9
Piperonyl butoxide (PBO) combined with pyrethroids in insecticide-treated nets to prevent malaria in Africa.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2021 May 24;5(5):CD012776. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD012776.pub3.
10
The effect of mass mosquito trapping on malaria transmission and disease burden (SolarMal): a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial.
Lancet. 2016 Sep 17;388(10050):1193-201. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(16)30445-7. Epub 2016 Aug 9.
引用本文的文献
1
How can modeling responsibly inform decision-making in malaria?
PLoS Biol. 2025 Jan 15;23(1):e3002991. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3002991. eCollection 2025 Jan.
2
National-scale simulation of human movement in a spatially coupled individual-based model of malaria in Burkina Faso.
Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 6;13(1):321. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-26878-5.
3
Multiple-Strain Malaria Infection and Its Impacts on Resistance to Antimalarial Therapy: A Mathematical Modelling Perspective.
Comput Math Methods Med. 2019 Jun 11;2019:9783986. doi: 10.1155/2019/9783986. eCollection 2019.
4
Modelling the impact of insecticide-based control interventions on the evolution of insecticide resistance and disease transmission.
Parasit Vectors. 2018 Aug 28;11(1):482. doi: 10.1186/s13071-018-3025-z.
5
Seasonality and heterogeneity of malaria transmission determine success of interventions in high-endemic settings: a modeling study.
BMC Infect Dis. 2018 Aug 22;18(1):413. doi: 10.1186/s12879-018-3319-y.
6
The portfolio effect cushions mosquito populations and malaria transmission against vector control interventions.
Malar J. 2018 Aug 10;17(1):291. doi: 10.1186/s12936-018-2441-z.
7
Spatial panorama of malaria prevalence in Africa under climate change and interventions scenarios.
Int J Health Geogr. 2018 Jan 16;17(1):2. doi: 10.1186/s12942-018-0122-3.
8
The Biosurveillance Analytics Resource Directory (BARD): Facilitating the Use of Epidemiological Models for Infectious Disease Surveillance.
PLoS One. 2016 Jan 28;11(1):e0146600. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0146600. eCollection 2016.
9
Spatial heterogeneity, host movement and mosquito-borne disease transmission.
PLoS One. 2015 Jun 1;10(6):e0127552. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0127552. eCollection 2015.
10
A comparison of five malaria transmission models: benchmark tests and implications for disease control.
Malar J. 2014 Jul 10;13:268. doi: 10.1186/1475-2875-13-268.
本文引用的文献
1
Epidemiological modelling for onchocerciasis control.
Parasitol Today. 1992 Mar;8(3):99-103. doi: 10.1016/0169-4758(92)90248-z.
2
Impact of ivermectin on onchocerciasis transmission: assessing the empirical evidence that repeated ivermectin mass treatments may lead to elimination/eradication in West-Africa.
Filaria J. 2003 Mar 24;2(1):8. doi: 10.1186/1475-2883-2-8.
3
Final report of the Conference on the eradicability of Onchocerciasis.
Filaria J. 2003 Feb 7;2(1):2. doi: 10.1186/1475-2883-2-2.
4
A biologic basis for integrated malaria control.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2002 Dec;67(6):571-7. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2002.67.571.
5
Efficacy and cost-effectiveness of environmental management for malaria control.
Trop Med Int Health. 2001 Sep;6(9):677-87. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-3156.2001.00769.x.
6
The malaria burden and Africa.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2001 Jan-Feb;64(1-2 Suppl):ii. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2001.64.ii.
7
Why model malaria?
Parasitol Today. 2000 Dec;16(12):511-6. doi: 10.1016/s0169-4758(00)01789-0.
8
Watson, Swellengrebel and species sanitation: environmental and ecological aspects.
Parassitologia. 1994 Aug;36(1-2):137-47.
9
Impact of combined large-scale ivermectin distribution and vector control on transmission of Onchocerca volvulus in the Niger basin, Guinea.
Bull World Health Organ. 1995;73(2):199-205.
10
The dynamics of malaria.
Bull World Health Organ. 1968;38(5):743-55.
Zotero 插件