Goldacre Michael J, Roberts Stephen E, Griffith Myfanwy
Unit of Health-Care Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Oxford, OX3 7LF, UK.
Eur J Public Health. 2004 Dec;14(4):338-42. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/14.4.338.
Two areas of uncertainty about routine statistics for mortality after hospital admission for myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke are i) whether most deaths occur in the admission episode itself rather than after discharge, and ii) whether most deaths are certified on death certificates as, respectively, MI or stroke.
Use of linked hospital and mortality statistics to analyse the time, place and certified cause of death in people aged 35-74 after admission for MI or stroke.
Of 7,964 deaths within a year of admission for MI, 5,686 (71.4%) occurred within 30 days of admission. Of these, 4,856 (85.4%) occurred during the initial hospital admission. Of 7,070 deaths within a year of admission for stroke, 4,905 (69.4%) were within 30 days, and 4,509 (91.9%) of these occurred during the initial admission. As expected, deaths at longer intervals than 30 days occurred mainly after discharge. Of deaths within 30 days of MI and stroke, 85.2% and 80.0%, respectively, were certified with MI or stroke as the underlying cause of death.
In-hospital death rates alone, calculated without record linkage to death certificates, would have identified most deaths that occurred within 30 days of admission. Nonetheless, linkage added to completeness of ascertainment even within this time period. Data without linkage are unreliable in identifying deaths at longer time intervals. Routine mortality statistics for MI and stroke, as the underlying cause, reliably included most deaths that occurred within 30 days of admission for each respective disease.
关于心肌梗死(MI)或中风入院后死亡率的常规统计存在两个不确定领域:i)大多数死亡是发生在入院期间本身还是出院后;ii)大多数死亡在死亡证明上是否分别被认证为MI或中风。
利用关联的医院和死亡率统计数据,分析35 - 74岁因MI或中风入院患者的死亡时间、地点及死亡证明上的死因。
在MI入院后一年内的7964例死亡中,5686例(71.4%)发生在入院后30天内。其中,4856例(85.4%)发生在首次住院期间。在中风入院后一年内的7070例死亡中,4905例(69.4%)在30天内,其中4509例(91.9%)发生在首次住院期间。正如预期的那样,间隔超过30天的死亡主要发生在出院后。在MI和中风入院后30天内的死亡中,分别有85.2%和80.0%被认证为以MI或中风作为根本死因。
仅计算住院死亡率而不将记录与死亡证明关联,本可识别出大多数发生在入院后30天内的死亡。尽管如此,即便在此时间段内,关联也增加了死因确定的完整性。未关联的数据在识别较长时间间隔的死亡时不可靠。MI和中风作为根本死因的常规死亡率统计可靠地涵盖了每种疾病入院后30天内发生的大多数死亡。