Cooter William S
RTI International, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709-2194, USA.
Environ Sci Technol. 2004 Oct 15;38(20):5265-73. doi: 10.1021/es030690h.
During the 1970s the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) devised a multiscale system of basin planning and regional implementation that encouraged a balanced mixture of monitoring and modeling-based assessments. By the 1980s, this goal had not been achieved. Modeling and monitoring assessment approaches became largely decoupled. To a significant degree, modeling was viewed as too inaccurate to handle issues such as setting permit limits involving toxics. During the 1980s, EPA also encouraged the idea that monitoring approaches were adequate to document water quality problems, guide the development of management plans, and demonstrate the achievement of management goals. By the late 1990s, large numbers of waters listed under the Clean Water Act's Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) provisions showed the widespread nature of pollutant concerns, but the uneven nature of the listing information also revealed fundamental problems in the ability of state monitoring programs to achieve credible and comprehensive assessments. Statistics are presented from the 1998 and the most current publicly available 2000 baseline periods showing the limitations in the scope of state assessments. There are significant opportunities for the increased use of relatively simple modeling systems that can be flexibly implemented over a variety of spatial scales. In addition to conventional modeling frameworks, the value of bioassessment monitoring techniques is stressed. Bioassessment indicators can often be combined with landscape modeling methods, as well as analyses from conventional modeling outputs, to help target small area monitoring by use of tiered approaches. These findings underscore the value of integrated monitoring and modeling approaches to build properly balanced assessment systems.
20世纪70年代,美国环境保护局(EPA)设计了一个多尺度流域规划和区域实施系统,该系统鼓励将监测和基于模型的评估进行平衡结合。到了20世纪80年代,这一目标尚未实现。建模和监测评估方法在很大程度上脱钩了。在很大程度上,建模被认为不够精确,无法处理诸如设定涉及有毒物质的许可限值等问题。20世纪80年代,EPA还倡导这样一种观点,即监测方法足以记录水质问题、指导管理计划的制定并证明管理目标的实现。到20世纪90年代末,根据《清洁水法》的总最大日负荷(TMDL)条款列出的大量水域表明了污染物问题的普遍性,但列出信息的不均衡性也揭示了州监测计划在实现可靠和全面评估方面存在的根本问题。文中给出了1998年以及最新可得的2000年基线期的统计数据,显示了州评估范围的局限性。增加使用能够在各种空间尺度上灵活实施的相对简单的建模系统存在重大机遇。除了传统的建模框架外,还强调了生物评估监测技术的价值。生物评估指标通常可以与景观建模方法以及传统建模输出的分析相结合,通过分层方法帮助确定小区域监测的目标。这些发现强调了综合监测和建模方法对于构建适当平衡的评估系统的价值。