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二维大气传输模型所暗示的碳循环年际变化

Interannual variability of carbon cycle implied by a 2-d atmospheric transport model.

作者信息

Can Li, Xu Li, Shao Min, Zhang Ren-Jian

机构信息

State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation & Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China.

出版信息

J Environ Sci (China). 2004;16(5):779-83.

Abstract

A 2-dimensional atmospheric transport model is deployed in a simplified CO2 inverse study. Calculated carbon flux distribution for the interval from 1981 to 1997 confirms the existence of a terrestrial carbon sink in mid-high latitude area of North Hemisphere. Strong interannual variability exists in carbon flux patterns, implying a possible link with ENSO and other natural episodes such as Pinatubo volcano eruption in 1991. Mechanism of this possible link was investigated with statistic method. Correlation analysis indicated that in North Hemisphere, climatic factors such as temperature and precipitation, to some extend, could influence the carbon cycle process of land and ocean, thus cause considerable change in carbon flux distribution. In addition, correlation study also demonstrated the possible, important role of Asian terrestrial ecosystems in carbon cycle.

摘要

在一项简化的二氧化碳反演研究中部署了一个二维大气传输模型。计算得出的1981年至1997年期间的碳通量分布证实了北半球中高纬度地区存在陆地碳汇。碳通量模式存在强烈的年际变化,这意味着可能与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)以及其他自然事件(如1991年皮纳图博火山喷发)有关。用统计方法研究了这种可能联系的机制。相关分析表明,在北半球,温度和降水等气候因素在一定程度上会影响陆地和海洋的碳循环过程,从而导致碳通量分布发生显著变化。此外,相关性研究还表明了亚洲陆地生态系统在碳循环中可能发挥的重要作用。

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