Monge Patricia, Partanen Timo, Wesseling Catharina, Bravo Viria, Ruepert Clemens, Burstyn Igor
Central American Institute for Studies on Toxic Substances, Universidad Nacional, Heredia, Costa Rica.
Ann Occup Hyg. 2005 Jul;49(5):375-84. doi: 10.1093/annhyg/meh102. Epub 2005 Jan 13.
We describe a model for the retrospective assessment of parental exposure to 26 pesticides, selected by toxicity-based prioritization, in a population-based case-control study of childhood leukaemia in Costa Rica (301 cases, 582 controls). The model was applied to a subset of 227 parents who had been employed or self-employed in agriculture or livestock breeding. It combines external data on pesticide use for 14 crops, 21 calendar years and 14 regions, and individual interview data on determinants (task and technology, personal protective equipment, field reentry, storing of pesticides, personal hygiene) of exposure. Recall was enhanced by use of checklists of pesticides in the interview. An external database provided information on the application rate (proxy for intensity of potential exposure) for each pesticide. The calendar time was individually converted to five time windows (year before conception, first, second and third trimester, and first year of the child). Time-windowed individual data on determinants of exposure and their expert-based general weights and their category-specific hazard values jointly provided an individual determinant score. This score was multiplied by the application rate to obtain an individual index of exposure intensity during application. Finally, average exposure intensity during entire time windows was estimated by incorporating in the model the individual time fraction of exposure during application. Estimates of exposure intensities were proxies assumed to be proportional to dermal exposure intensity, which represents the major pathway of occupational exposure to pesticides. A simulated sensitivity analysis resulted in a correlation coefficient of 0.91 between two sets of 10 000 values of individual exposure indices, based on two different but realistic sets expert-assigned weights. Lack of measurement data on concurrent exposures in comparable circumstances precluded direct validation of the model.
在哥斯达黎加开展的一项基于人群的儿童白血病病例对照研究(301例病例,582例对照)中,我们描述了一种用于回顾性评估父母接触26种农药情况的模型,这些农药是通过基于毒性的优先级选择出来的。该模型应用于227名曾受雇于农业或畜牧业或从事个体经营的父母的子集。它结合了14种作物、21个日历年和14个地区的农药使用外部数据,以及关于接触决定因素(任务和技术、个人防护设备、田间重新进入、农药储存、个人卫生)的个人访谈数据。在访谈中使用农药清单提高了回忆能力。一个外部数据库提供了每种农药的施用量(潜在接触强度的代理指标)信息。日历时间被分别转换为五个时间窗口(受孕前一年、妊娠第一、第二和第三个月以及孩子出生后的第一年)。关于接触决定因素的时间窗口化个人数据及其基于专家的一般权重以及特定类别的危害值共同提供了一个个人决定因素得分。该得分乘以施用量以获得施用期间的个人接触强度指数。最后,通过将施用期间接触的个人时间分数纳入模型,估计整个时间窗口内的平均接触强度。接触强度估计值是假设与皮肤接触强度成比例的代理指标,皮肤接触强度代表了职业接触农药的主要途径。基于两组不同但现实的专家指定权重,对10000个个人接触指数值进行的模拟敏感性分析得出相关系数为0.91。由于缺乏可比情况下同时接触的测量数据,无法对该模型进行直接验证。