欺骗检测中的准确性与置信度相关性。

The accuracy-confidence correlation in the detection of deception.

作者信息

DePaulo B M, Charlton K, Cooper H, Lindsay J J, Muhlenbruck L

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Virginia, Charlottesville 22903, USA.

出版信息

Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 1997;1(4):346-57. doi: 10.1207/s15327957pspr0104_5.

DOI:10.1207/s15327957pspr0104_5

PMID:15661668

Abstract

A meta-analysis was conducted of research on the relation between judges' accuracy at detecting deception and their confidence in their judgments. A total of 18 independent samples revealed an average weighted accuracy-confidence correlation of .04, a relation not significantly different from zero. However, confidence was positively correlated with judges' tendency to perceive messages as truthful, regardless of the actual truthfulness of the messages. Judges were also more confident when they really were rating truths compared to when they were rating lies. Also, men were more confident than women, and judges who had a closer relationship to the message sender felt more confident in their judgments of truths and lies. Methodological and theoretical explanations for these findings are discussed.

摘要

对关于法官在检测欺骗方面的准确性与其对自身判断的信心之间关系的研究进行了一项荟萃分析。总共18个独立样本显示，平均加权准确性与信心的相关性为0.04，该关系与零无显著差异。然而，无论信息的实际真实性如何，信心与法官将信息视为真实的倾向呈正相关。与对谎言进行评级时相比，法官在对真实信息进行评级时也更有信心。此外，男性比女性更有信心，并且与信息发送者关系更密切的法官对真实信息和谎言的判断更有信心。讨论了这些发现的方法学和理论解释。