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欺骗判断的准确性。

Accuracy of deception judgments.

作者信息

Bond Charles F, DePaulo Bella M

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USA.

出版信息

Pers Soc Psychol Rev. 2006;10(3):214-34. doi: 10.1207/s15327957pspr1003_2.

Abstract

We analyze the accuracy of deception judgments, synthesizing research results from 206 documents and 24,483 judges. In relevant studies, people attempt to discriminate lies from truths in real time with no special aids or training. In these circumstances, people achieve an average of 54% correct lie-truth judgments, correctly classifying 47% of lies as deceptive and 61% of truths as nondeceptive. Relative to cross-judge differences in accuracy, mean lie-truth discrimination abilities are nontrivial, with a mean accuracy d of roughly .40. This produces an effect that is at roughly the 60th percentile in size, relative to others that have been meta-analyzed by social psychologists. Alternative indexes of lie-truth discrimination accuracy correlate highly with percentage correct, and rates of lie detection vary little from study to study. Our meta-analyses reveal that people are more accurate in judging audible than visible lies, that people appear deceptive when motivated to be believed, and that individuals regard their interaction partners as honest. We propose that people judge others' deceptions more harshly than their own and that this double standard in evaluating deceit can explain much of the accumulated literature.

摘要

我们分析了欺骗判断的准确性,综合了来自206份文献和24483名判断者的研究结果。在相关研究中,人们试图在没有特殊辅助或训练的情况下实时区分谎言与真相。在这些情况下,人们平均能做出54%正确的谎言-真相判断,将47%的谎言正确归类为欺骗性的,将61%的真相正确归类为非欺骗性的。相对于判断者之间在准确性上的差异,平均的谎言-真相辨别能力并非微不足道,平均准确率d约为0.40。相对于社会心理学家进行元分析的其他效应大小而言,这产生了一个大致处于第60百分位的效应。谎言-真相辨别准确性的其他指标与正确百分比高度相关,而且不同研究之间的谎言检测率差异不大。我们的元分析表明,人们在判断听觉谎言时比视觉谎言更准确,当人们有被相信的动机时会显得具有欺骗性,而且人们认为他们的互动伙伴是诚实的。我们提出,人们评判他人的欺骗行为比评判自己的更为苛刻,而这种评估欺骗行为的双重标准能够解释许多已积累的文献。

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