Bradshaw Jonathan, Finch Naomi, Miles Jeremy N V
Social Policy Research Unit, University of York, York, UK.
J Fam Plann Reprod Health Care. 2005 Jan;31(1):15-9. doi: 10.1783/0000000052973022.
There are substantial variations between local authorities in the conception rate of teenagers and the proportion of these that end in abortion. This study builds two deprivation models that explain part of the variation in conceptions and abortions. It then identifies outliers, local authorities with teenage conception and abortion rates that are above or below those predicted by the model. It is suggested that the local authorities with lower than expected conceptions are the ones to look to when seeking to discover how to prevent teenage conceptions and those with higher than expected abortion rates may have abortion services that are more accessible. In general, spatial comparisons of conceptions and abortion should take into account variations in deprivation.
地方当局在青少年怀孕率以及其中以堕胎告终的比例方面存在很大差异。本研究构建了两个贫困模型，用以解释怀孕和堕胎情况变化的部分原因。然后，它识别出了异常值，即青少年怀孕率和堕胎率高于或低于模型预测值的地方当局。有人认为，怀孕率低于预期的地方当局是探寻如何预防青少年怀孕的研究对象，而堕胎率高于预期的地方当局可能拥有更易获得的堕胎服务。总体而言，怀孕和堕胎情况的空间比较应考虑贫困程度的差异。
