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2004年至2014年美国医疗支出预测。

U.S. health spending projections for 2004-2014.

作者信息

Heffler Stephen, Smith Sheila, Keehan Sean, Borger Christine, Clemens M Kent, Truffer Christopher

机构信息

Office of the Actuary, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

出版信息

Health Aff (Millwood). 2005 Jan-Jun;Suppl Web Exclusives:W5-74-W5-85. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.w5.74.

Abstract

National health spending growth is anticipated to remain stable at just over 7.0 percent through 2006, the result of diverging public- and private-sector spending trends. The faster public-sector spending growth is exemplified by the introduction of the new Medicare drug benefit in 2006. While this benefit is anticipated to have only a minor impact on overall health spending, it will result in a significant shift in funding from private payers and Medicaid to Medicare. By 2014, total health spending is projected to constitute 18.7 percent of gross domestic product, from 15.3 percent in 2003.

摘要

预计到2006年,美国国家医疗支出的增长将保持在略高于7.0%的稳定水平,这是公共部门和私营部门支出趋势分化的结果。2006年新推出的医疗保险药品福利体现了公共部门支出的更快增长。虽然这项福利预计对整体医疗支出的影响较小,但它将导致资金从私人支付者和医疗补助计划大幅转向医疗保险计划。到2014年,预计医疗总支出将占国内生产总值的18.7%,而2003年为15.3%。

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