Monshouwer Karin, Smit Filip, de Graaf Ron, van Os Jim, Vollebergh Wilma
Trimbos Institute (Netherlands Institute of Mental Health and Addiction), 3500 VJ Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Addiction. 2005 Jul;100(7):963-70. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2005.01088.x.
To investigate the hypothesis that changes in cannabis prevalence among Dutch secondary school students (aged 12-17 years) were paralleled by shifts in the age of first cannabis use.
Data were derived from five waves (1988, 1992, 1996, 1999 and 2003) of the Dutch National School Survey on Substance Use, a nationally representative cross-sectional study, with a total of 32,777 respondents.
Written questionnaires on cannabis, tobacco, alcohol, other drug use and socio-demographic and behavioural variables were administered in classroom settings.
Survival analysis showed a strong increase in cumulative incidences by age of first cannabis use from 1988 to 1992, a further increase in 1996 and stabilization in 1999, continuing into 2003. From 1992 to 1996, age of onset shifted towards younger ages. Onset peaked at age 15 in 1992 and age 14 in 1996. The proportion of life-time cannabis users starting at age 13 or younger increased from 26% in 1992 to 41% in 1996. The overall trend was similar for boys and girls.
The study largely confirmed the expectation that the increase in cannabis use from 1988 to 1996 was paralleled by a decrease in the age of first cannabis use. From 1996 to 2003 age of first cannabis use and prevalence stabilized, possibly occasioned by a change in cannabis policy in the mid-1990s.
研究关于荷兰中学生(12至17岁)大麻使用率的变化与首次使用大麻年龄的变化同步这一假设。
数据来自荷兰全国学校物质使用调查的五轮调查(1988年、1992年、1996年、1999年和2003年),这是一项具有全国代表性的横断面研究,共有32777名受访者。
在课堂环境中发放关于大麻、烟草、酒精、其他药物使用以及社会人口统计学和行为变量的书面问卷。
生存分析显示,从1988年到1992年,首次使用大麻的累积发病率随年龄大幅上升,1996年进一步上升,1999年趋于稳定,并持续到2003年。从1992年到1996年,发病年龄向更低年龄段偏移。发病高峰在1992年为15岁,1996年为14岁。13岁及以下开始使用大麻的终生使用者比例从1992年的26%增至1996年的41%。男孩和女孩的总体趋势相似。
该研究在很大程度上证实了以下预期,即1988年至1996年大麻使用量的增加与首次使用大麻年龄的降低同步。从1996年到2003年,首次使用大麻的年龄和使用率趋于稳定,这可能是由20世纪90年代中期大麻政策的变化导致的。