Wara Michael W, Ravelo Ana Christina, Delaney Margaret L
Ocean Sciences Department, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA.
Science. 2005 Jul 29;309(5735):758-61. doi: 10.1126/science.1112596. Epub 2005 Jun 23.
During the warm early Pliocene (approximately 4.5 to 3.0 million years ago), the most recent interval with a climate warmer than today, the eastern Pacific thermocline was deep and the average west-to-east sea surface temperature difference across the equatorial Pacific was only 1.5 +/- 0.9 degrees C, much like it is during a modern El Niño event. Thus, the modern strong sea surface temperature gradient across the equatorial Pacific is not a stable and permanent feature. Sustained El Niño-like conditions, including relatively weak zonal atmospheric (Walker) circulation, could be a consequence of, and play an important role in determining, global warmth.
在温暖的上新世早期(约450万至300万年前),即最近一段气候比现在更温暖的时期,东太平洋温跃层很深,赤道太平洋从西到东的平均海面温度差仅为1.5±0.9摄氏度,与现代厄尔尼诺事件期间的情况非常相似。因此,现代赤道太平洋上强烈的海面温度梯度并非一个稳定和永久的特征。持续的类似厄尔尼诺的状况,包括相对较弱的纬向大气(沃克)环流,可能是全球变暖的结果,并在决定全球变暖方面发挥重要作用。