Cheung Siu Lan Karen, Robine Jean-Marie, Tu Edward Jow-Ching, Caselli Graziella
INSERM/Démographie et Santé, Val d'Aurelle, Parc Euromédecine, 34298 Montpellier 5, France.
Demography. 2005 May;42(2):243-58. doi: 10.1353/dem.2005.0012.
Three dimensions of the survival curve have been developed: (1) "horizontalization," which corresponds to how long a cohort and how many survivors can live before aging-related deaths significantly decrease the proportion of survivors; (2) "verticalization," which corresponds to how concentrated aging-related ("normal") deaths are around the modal age at death (M); and (3) "longevity extension," which corresponds to how far the highest normal life durations can exceed M. Our study shows that the degree of horizontalization increased relatively less than the degree of verticalization in Hong Kong from 1976 to 2001. After age normalization, the highest normal life durations moved closer to M, implying that the increase in human longevity is meeting some resistance.
(1)“水平化”,它对应于一个队列能存活多长时间以及在与衰老相关的死亡显著降低幸存者比例之前有多少幸存者能存活;(2)“垂直化”,它对应于与衰老相关的(“正常”)死亡在死亡众数年龄(M)周围的集中程度;(3)“寿命延长”,它对应于最高正常寿命能超过M的程度。我们的研究表明,从1976年到2001年,香港的水平化程度相对低于垂直化程度。在年龄标准化之后,最高正常寿命更接近M,这意味着人类寿命的延长正遇到一些阻力。