Ivanova Anastasia, Qaqish Bahjat F, Schell Michael J
Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina 27599-7420, USA.
Biometrics. 2005 Jun;61(2):540-5. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00311.x.
The goal of a phase II trial in oncology is to evaluate the efficacy of a new therapy. The dose investigated in a phase II trial is usually an estimate of a maximum-tolerated dose obtained in a preceding phase I trial. Because this estimate is imprecise, stopping rules for toxicity are used in many phase II trials. We give recommendations on how to construct stopping rules to monitor toxicity continuously. A table is provided from which Pocock stopping boundaries can be easily obtained for a range of toxicity rates and sample sizes. Estimation of the probability of toxicity and response is also discussed.
肿瘤学中II期试验的目标是评估一种新疗法的疗效。II期试验中所研究的剂量通常是根据先前I期试验获得的最大耐受剂量估算得出的。由于这种估算并不精确,许多II期试验都采用了毒性停止规则。我们给出了关于如何构建停止规则以持续监测毒性的建议。提供了一个表格,通过它可以轻松获得一系列毒性率和样本量对应的Pocock停止边界。还讨论了毒性和反应概率的估计方法。