Flahault Antoine, Cadilhac Michel, Thomas Guy
Unité de biostatistique et d'Informatique médicale, Hôpital Tenon, Paris, France.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2005 Aug;58(8):859-62. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2004.12.009.
Guidelines for conducting studies and reading medical literature on diagnostic tests have been published: Requirements for the selection of cases and controls, and for ensuring a correct reference standard are now clarified. Our objective was to provide tables for sample size determination in this context.
In the usual situation, where the prevalence Prev of the disease of interest is <0.50, one first determines the minimal number Ncases of cases required to ensure a given precision of the sensitivity estimate. Computations are based on the binomial distribution, for user-specified type I and type II error levels. The minimal number N(controls) of controls is then derived so as to allow for representativeness of the study population, according to Ncontrols=Ncases [(1-Prev)/Prev].
Tables give the values of Ncases corresponding to expected sensitivities from 0.60 to 0.99, acceptable lower 95% confidence limits from 0.50 to 0.98, and 5% probability of the estimated lower confidence limit being lower than the acceptable level.
When designing diagnostic test studies, sample size calculations should be performed in order to guarantee the design accuracy.
关于开展诊断试验研究及阅读相关医学文献的指南已发布,其中明确了病例和对照的选择要求以及确保正确参考标准的要求。我们的目的是在此背景下提供样本量确定的表格。
在通常情况下,若所关注疾病的患病率Prev<0.50,首先要确定确保敏感性估计具有给定精度所需的病例最小数量Ncases。计算基于二项分布,针对用户指定的I型和II型错误水平。然后根据Ncontrols = Ncases[(1 - Prev)/Prev]得出对照的最小数量N(controls),以保证研究人群的代表性。
表格给出了对应预期敏感性从0.60至0.99、可接受的95%下限置信区间从0.50至0.98以及估计下限置信区间低于可接受水平的概率为5%时的Ncases值。
在设计诊断试验研究时,应进行样本量计算以保证设计的准确性。