Musicco Massimo, Pettenati Carla, Caltagirone Carlo
Istituto di Tecnologie Biomediche, Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Via Fratelli Cervi 93, 20090 Segrate, Milan, Italy.
Ann Ist Super Sanita. 2005;41(1):87-91.
The efficacy of medical interventions is their capacity of inducing positive modifications of the natural history of diseases. The natural history of dementia is marked by specific events related to the cognitive and functional decline, but their occurrence is poorly predictable in individual patients being highly variable from patient to patient. For this reason it is difficult that the modest efficacy of available interventions for dementia, or their entity measured by clinical scales, may be perceived in clinical practice or in observational studies. Moreover in randomized clinical studies, the effect of this variability, in analogy to misclassification of exposition and/or disease in case control or cohort epidemiological studies, is that of an underestimation of the true efficacy of interventions.
医学干预的疗效是指其诱导疾病自然史产生积极改变的能力。痴呆症的自然史以与认知和功能衰退相关的特定事件为特征,但这些事件在个体患者中的发生很难预测,患者之间差异很大。因此,在临床实践或观察性研究中,很难察觉到现有痴呆症干预措施的适度疗效,或通过临床量表衡量的疗效程度。此外,在随机临床试验中,这种变异性的影响,类似于病例对照或队列流行病学研究中暴露和/或疾病的错误分类,会导致对干预措施真实疗效的低估。