Reynolds Sandra L, Saito Yasuhiko, Crimmins Eileen M
USF School of Aging Studies, 4202 E. Fowler Ave., MHC 1344, Tampa, FL 33620, USA.
Gerontologist. 2005 Aug;45(4):438-44. doi: 10.1093/geront/45.4.438.
The purpose of this article is to estimate the effect of obesity on both the length of life and length of nondisabled life for older Americans.
Using data from the first 3 waves of the Asset and Health Dynamics Among the Oldest Old (AHEAD) survey, this article develops estimates of total, active, and disabled life expectancy for obese and nonobese older men and women. We used the Interpolation of Markov Chains (IMaCh) method to estimate the average number of years obese and nonobese older persons can expect to live with and without activity of daily living (ADL) disability.
Our findings indicate that obesity has little effect on life expectancy in adults aged 70 years and older. However, the obese are more likely to become disabled. This means that obese older adults live both more years and a higher proportion of their remaining lives disabled.
The lack of significant differences in life expectancy by obesity status among the old suggests that obesity-related death is less of a concern than disability in this age range. Given steady increases in obesity among Americans at all ages, future disability rates may be higher than anticipated among older U.S. adults. In order to reduce disability among future cohorts of older adults, more research is needed on the causes and treatment of obesity and evaluations done on interventions to accomplish and maintain weight loss.
本文旨在评估肥胖对美国老年人寿命及无残疾寿命时长的影响。
利用“最年长者资产与健康动态”(AHEAD)调查前三轮的数据,本文得出了肥胖及非肥胖老年男性和女性的总预期寿命、活动预期寿命和残疾预期寿命的估计值。我们使用马尔可夫链插值法(IMaCh)来估计肥胖及非肥胖老年人在有和没有日常生活活动(ADL)残疾情况下的平均预期存活年数。
我们的研究结果表明,肥胖对70岁及以上成年人的预期寿命影响不大。然而,肥胖者更有可能出现残疾。这意味着肥胖的老年人不仅寿命更长,而且在其剩余寿命中残疾的比例也更高。
老年人中肥胖状况对预期寿命没有显著差异,这表明在这个年龄范围内,与肥胖相关的死亡比残疾问题不那么令人担忧。鉴于美国各年龄段肥胖率持续上升,未来美国老年人群的残疾率可能高于预期。为了降低未来老年人群的残疾率,需要对肥胖的成因和治疗进行更多研究,并对实现和维持体重减轻的干预措施进行评估。