Lu Sheng-Nan, Jiang Donald Dah-Shyong, Liu Jien-Wei, Lin Meng-Chih, Chen Chao-Long, Su Ih-Jen, Chen Shun-Sheng
Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2005 Aug;73(2):423-7.
This study describes the epidemiologic features of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in southern Taiwan in 2003. According to the official files of reported cases of SARS from February 21 to June 19, 2003, there were 586 cases in southern Taiwan. Symptom onset occurred between February 21 and June 19 in reported cases, between March 13 and May 30 in probable cases, and between March 17 and May 23 in polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive probable cases. Dates of symptom onset were earliest for six imported cases, followed by 53 cases related to nosocomial infections and 51 cases without known sources of infection. The positive rates of the PCR for these three groups decreased from 50.0% to 28.3% to 3.9% , respectively (P < 0.001, by chi-square test for linear trend). Three other cases resulted from exposure to contaminated hospitals in northern Taiwan, one of which was the index case of the nosocomial infection. Imported cases following nosocomial infection were the major cause of SARS infections in southern Taiwan. Due to the low positive rate of the PCR for SARS coronavirus, and the low positive predictive value of reported cases, the factuality of cases with unknown sources of infection should be further verified.
本研究描述了2003年台湾南部严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)暴发的流行病学特征。根据2003年2月21日至6月19日SARS报告病例的官方档案,台湾南部有586例病例。报告病例的症状出现时间为2月21日至6月19日,疑似病例为3月13日至5月30日,聚合酶链反应(PCR)阳性疑似病例为3月17日至5月23日。症状出现日期最早的是6例输入性病例,其次是53例与医院感染相关的病例和51例感染源不明的病例。这三组病例的PCR阳性率分别从50.0%降至28.3%再降至3.9%(经线性趋势卡方检验,P<0.001)。另外3例是由于接触了台湾北部受污染的医院,其中1例是医院感染的指示病例。医院感染后的输入性病例是台湾南部SARS感染的主要原因。由于SARS冠状病毒的PCR阳性率较低,且报告病例的阳性预测值较低,感染源不明病例的真实性应进一步核实。