Jongbloet Piet Hein, Groenewoud Hans M M, Roeleveld Nel
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University Medical Centre Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Int J Eat Disord. 2005 Nov;38(3):236-43. doi: 10.1002/eat.20173.
A preponderance of births between April and June in patients with anorexia nervosa (AN) and other eating disorders (EDs) has recently been explained by a higher environmental temperature at conception. This hypothesis, however, does not explain some other irregularities in the month of birth distribution in contrast to the seasonal preovulatory overripeness ovopathy (SPrOO) and seasonal optimally ripened oocytes (SOptRO) hypotheses.
The month of birth distribution of 408 patients with EDs from Southeast England and of 199 patients from Australia has been reassessed in relation to previously determined high-risk and low-risk months based on a priori knowledge from mammals and on the physiologic birth peaks and troughs in humans at population level. The differences between high-risk and low-risk months were assessed by conventional chi-square analyses and by relative risks (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).
In England, fewer AN patients (n = 259) were born at the peaks of the total birth pattern, that is, during the 2 low-risk months, and more were born during the transitional stages, that is, during the remaining 10 high-risk months (p = .004; RR = 1.66 [95% CI = 1.13-2.41]). After the addition of 149 other ED patients (n = 408), this result remained (p = .005; RR = 1.47 [95% CI = 1.10-1.97]). Similar results were found in 199 ED patients from Australia (p = .009; RR =1.70 [95% CI = 1.09-2.64]).
ED patients appear to be more frequently conceived during the transitional stages of the ovulatory pattern due to SPrOO and less frequently at the ovulatory peaks due to SOptRO. The pathophysiologic processes of oocyte maturation in estrous animals and the circumstantial evidence of similar phenomena in humans are more appropriate to explain these coincidences than the temperature at conception hypothesis.
最近有观点认为,神经性厌食症(AN)及其他饮食失调(ED)患者在4月至6月出生的人数占比较高,原因是受孕时环境温度较高。然而,与季节性排卵前过熟卵子病(SPrOO)和季节性最佳成熟卵子(SOptRO)假说相比,这一假说无法解释出生月份分布中的其他一些不规则现象。
根据来自哺乳动物的先验知识以及人群水平上人类生理出生高峰和低谷,重新评估了英格兰东南部408例ED患者和澳大利亚199例患者的出生月份分布情况,并与之前确定的高风险和低风险月份进行比较。通过传统卡方分析以及95%置信区间(CI)的相对风险(RR)评估高风险和低风险月份之间的差异。
在英格兰,较少的AN患者(n = 259)在总出生模式的高峰期出生,即在2个低风险月份,而更多患者在过渡阶段出生,即在其余10个高风险月份(p = 0.004;RR = 1.66 [95% CI = 1.13 - 2.41])。纳入另外149例其他ED患者(n = 408)后,这一结果仍然成立(p = 0.005;RR = 1.47 [95% CI = 1.10 - 1.97])。在澳大利亚的199例ED患者中也发现了类似结果(p = 0.009;RR = 1.70 [95% CI = 1.09 - 2.64])。
由于SPrOO,ED患者似乎更频繁地在排卵模式的过渡阶段受孕,而由于SOptRO,在排卵高峰期受孕的频率较低。与受孕时温度假说相比,发情动物卵母细胞成熟的病理生理过程以及人类类似现象的间接证据更适合解释这些巧合。