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随机效应模型在删失双生子数据中的应用。

The application of a random effects model to censored twin data.

作者信息

Liu I-Chao, Xu Ronghui, Blacker Deborah L, Fitzmaurice Garrett, Lyons Michael J, Tsuang Ming T

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, Cardinal Tien Hospital and Fu Jen Medical School, Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

Behav Genet. 2005 Nov;35(6):781-9. doi: 10.1007/s10519-005-7285-y.

Abstract

The authors propose a random effects model to analyze the latent genetic and environmental effects on determining censored outcomes in twin studies. In this model, six normally distributed random effects are used to describe the correlation within twin pairs. The authors employ a Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization approach for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of fixed effects and the variances of random effects. The variances of the random effects are reparameterized to be equivalent to genetic and environmental effects in traditional twin models. The authors illustrate this model using data from the Vietnam Era Twin Registry to explore the magnitude of the genetic influence on twin similarity for the age of onset of alcohol abuse. Our results show genetic factors contribute about one third of twin similarity in the age of onset of alcohol abuse in male twins. The application of this model to twin data is discussed.

摘要

作者提出了一种随机效应模型,用于分析双胞胎研究中潜在的遗传和环境因素对确定删失结果的影响。在该模型中,使用六个正态分布的随机效应来描述双胞胎对之间的相关性。作者采用蒙特卡洛期望最大化方法来获得固定效应和随机效应方差的最大似然估计。随机效应的方差被重新参数化,以等同于传统双胞胎模型中的遗传和环境效应。作者使用越南时代双胞胎登记处的数据来说明该模型,以探讨遗传因素对酒精滥用发病年龄双胞胎相似性的影响程度。我们的结果表明,遗传因素在男性双胞胎酒精滥用发病年龄的双胞胎相似性中约占三分之一。本文还讨论了该模型在双胞胎数据中的应用。

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