Lynd Larry D, Goeree Ron, O'Brien Bernie J
Faculty of Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.
Pharmacoeconomics. 2005;23(11):1083-106. doi: 10.2165/00019053-200523110-00003.
The economic burden of influenza-related illness has been estimated to be 71.3-166 billion US dollars in the US, the majority of which is attributable to indirect costs as a result of lost productivity. There are currently four antiviral drugs available for the treatment of influenza: two ion channel blockers, amantadine and rimantadine; and two neuraminidase inhibitors, zanamivir and oseltamivir. The objective of this paper was to review the studies evaluating the cost effectiveness of currently available antiviral treatment and prophylaxis management strategies for influenza. Published studies that reported both costs and effectiveness of influenza management were extracted using MEDLINE, pre-MEDLINE and EMBASE. To facilitate a broad comparison, all costs were inflated to 2003 US dollars. Fifteen studies met the inclusion criteria of the review, with 14 analyses based on decision-analytic modelling and one economic analysis performed alongside a clinical trial. Management strategies included antiviral influenza prophylaxis or vaccination, empiric treatment of suspected disease, or antiviral treatment following rapid influenza testing. Study populations included healthy adults, adults at risk of influenza-related adverse outcomes, institutionalised and non-institutionalised elderly, and children. The comparator in all studies was standard care (i.e. over-the-counter medications only), and analyses were carried out from both the societal and payer perspectives. The only dominant strategy relative to standard care was vaccination of the institutionalised elderly. All other strategies in all populations were both more costly and more effective than standard care. Depending on the population and the perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for antiviral treatment strategies ranged from 5000 US dollars/QALY for amantadine in test-and-treat studies to >400,000 US dollars/QALY for zanamivir or oseltamivir treatment in children. Sensitivity analysis in all studies consistently reported a strong influence of the population prevalence or diagnostic accuracy of influenza on the cost effectiveness of all strategies. Baseline influenza prevalence varied widely between studies, ranging from 15% to 68%. There was also a wide variation in the assumption about the disutility of influenza (ranging from -0.137 to -0.983 for the elderly requiring hospitalisation), which also impacted the cost effectiveness. Given the variation in the ICERs of antiviral treatment and prophylaxis, the uncertainty around many model parameters, and the dynamic nature of influenza from year to year, one can only conclude that antiviral treatment or prophylaxis for influenza is likely to be more cost effective in specific populations at specific times during the influenza season, and during influenza seasons when the population prevalence reaches epidemic levels or there is mismatch between the vaccine and the circulating virus.
据估计,在美国,与流感相关疾病的经济负担为713亿至1660亿美元,其中大部分归因于生产力损失导致的间接成本。目前有四种抗病毒药物可用于治疗流感:两种离子通道阻滞剂,金刚烷胺和金刚乙胺;以及两种神经氨酸酶抑制剂,扎那米韦和奥司他韦。本文的目的是综述评估当前可用的流感抗病毒治疗和预防管理策略成本效益的研究。使用MEDLINE、预MEDLINE和EMBASE检索报告了流感管理成本和效益的已发表研究。为便于广泛比较,所有成本均折算为2003年美元。15项研究符合该综述的纳入标准,其中14项分析基于决策分析模型,1项经济分析与一项临床试验同时进行。管理策略包括流感抗病毒预防或疫苗接种、对疑似疾病的经验性治疗或快速流感检测后的抗病毒治疗。研究人群包括健康成年人、有流感相关不良后果风险的成年人、机构化和非机构化老年人以及儿童。所有研究中的对照均为标准治疗(即仅使用非处方药),并从社会和支付方的角度进行分析。相对于标准治疗,唯一占主导地位的策略是对机构化老年人进行疫苗接种。所有人群中的所有其他策略均比标准治疗成本更高且更有效。根据人群和分析角度的不同,抗病毒治疗策略的增量成本效益比(ICER)范围从检测和治疗研究中金刚烷胺的5000美元/QALY到儿童使用扎那米韦或奥司他韦治疗的>400,000美元/QALY。所有研究中的敏感性分析一致报告,流感的人群患病率或诊断准确性对所有策略的成本效益有很大影响。各研究之间的基线流感患病率差异很大,范围从