Larsson S C, Permert J, Håkansson N, Näslund I, Bergkvist L, Wolk A
Division of Nutritional Epidemiology, The National Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Br J Cancer. 2005 Nov 28;93(11):1310-5. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6602868.
We examined the associations of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, a history of diabetes, and cigarette smoking with risk of pancreatic cancer among 37,147 women and 45,906 men followed up during 560,666 person-years in the Swedish Mammography Cohort and the Cohort of Swedish Men; 136 incident cases of pancreatic cancer were diagnosed. The multivariate rate ratio (RR) of pancreatic cancer for obese women and men (BMI > or =30 kg/m(2)) was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.04-3.15) compared to those with a BMI of 20-25 kg/m(2). For a difference of 20 cm (about two standard deviations) in waist circumference, the multivariate RRs were 1.32 (95% CI: 0.73-2.37) among women and 1.74 (95% CI: 1.00-3.01) among men. Pancreatic cancer risk was associated with history of diabetes (multivariate RR: 1.88; 95% CI: 1.09-3.26) and cigarette smoking (multivariate RR for current compared with never smokers: 3.06; 95% CI: 1.99-4.72). Current smokers of > or =40 pack-years had a five-fold elevated risk compared with never smokers. Risk among past smokers approached the RR for never smokers within 5-10 years following smoking cessation. Findings from this prospective study support positive relationships of overall obesity, abdominal adiposity, diabetes and smoking with risk of pancreatic cancer.
我们在瑞典乳腺X线摄影队列和瑞典男性队列中,对37147名女性和45906名男性进行了560666人年的随访,研究了体重指数(BMI)、腰围、糖尿病史和吸烟与胰腺癌风险之间的关联;共诊断出136例胰腺癌病例。与BMI为20 - 25kg/m²的女性和男性相比,肥胖女性和男性(BMI≥30kg/m²)患胰腺癌的多变量率比(RR)为1.81(95%CI:1.04 - 3.15)。腰围相差20cm(约两个标准差)时,女性的多变量RR为1.32(95%CI:0.73 - 2.37),男性为1.74(95%CI:1.00 - 3.01)。胰腺癌风险与糖尿病史(多变量RR:1.88;95%CI:1.09 - 3.26)和吸烟有关(当前吸烟者与从不吸烟者相比的多变量RR:3.06;95%CI:1.99 - 4.72)。吸烟量≥40包年的当前吸烟者与从不吸烟者相比,风险升高了五倍。既往吸烟者的风险在戒烟后5 - 10年内接近从不吸烟者的RR。这项前瞻性研究的结果支持总体肥胖、腹部肥胖、糖尿病和吸烟与胰腺癌风险之间存在正相关关系。