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从出生到成年肝脏体积的变化:一项荟萃分析。

Changes in liver volume from birth to adulthood: a meta-analysis.

作者信息

Johnson Trevor N, Tucker Geoffrey T, Tanner M Stuart, Rostami-Hodjegan Amin

机构信息

Simcyp Limited, Blades Enterprise Centre, John Street, Sheffield S2 4SU, UK.

出版信息

Liver Transpl. 2005 Dec;11(12):1481-93. doi: 10.1002/lt.20519.

Abstract

A diversity of equations is available for the estimation of liver volume (LV), derived from studies in populations of ethnically homogeneous individuals and using a variety of methods of measurement. The aim of this study was to integrate all published pediatric data and to define a general equation for estimating LV from birth onward. Data were collated from 5,036 subjects (birth to 18 yr old). Equations were developed based on simple regression against body surface area (BSA) and multiple regression of LV with weight, height, BSA, age, gender, race, methodology, and year of publication as covariates. These equations, together with those reported in the literature, were compared for accuracy of prediction of LV from birth to 18 yr old. The most parsimonious equation to describe LV was selected according to the Akaike information criteria (AIC), precision and bias and following visual inspection of residual errors and observed vs. predicted plots: LV = 0.722 * BSA(1.176). The multiple regression models indicated that Japanese have up to 19% larger livers compared to Caucasians for a given body weight. Radiographic and ultrasonic measurements were associated with up to 8% lower estimates of liver size compared to measurements made at autopsy. There was no evidence that gender or the year in which a study was published (1933-1999) influenced the estimation of LV. The general equation was also applied to predict adult LV, and its precision and accuracy was found to be superior to those of 10/11 published adult models. In conclusion, we have developed a more general model to predict LV in pediatric populations and young adults, and have investigated a range of covariates.

摘要

有多种方程可用于估计肝脏体积(LV),这些方程源自对种族同质人群的研究,并采用了多种测量方法。本研究的目的是整合所有已发表的儿科数据,并确定一个从出生起就可用于估计LV的通用方程。我们整理了5036名受试者(从出生到18岁)的数据。基于与体表面积(BSA)的简单回归以及将LV与体重、身高、BSA、年龄、性别、种族、方法和发表年份作为协变量进行多元回归,建立了方程。将这些方程与文献中报道的方程进行比较,以评估从出生到18岁预测LV的准确性。根据赤池信息准则(AIC)、精度和偏差,并在直观检查残差误差以及观察值与预测值的图表后,选择了描述LV的最简约方程:LV = 0.722 * BSA(1.176)。多元回归模型表明,在给定体重的情况下,日本人的肝脏比白种人大19%。与尸检测量相比,放射学和超声测量得出的肝脏大小估计值低8%。没有证据表明性别或研究发表年份(1933 - 1999年)会影响LV的估计。该通用方程还被用于预测成人LV,发现其精度和准确性优于已发表的10/11个成人模型。总之,我们开发了一个更通用的模型来预测儿科人群和年轻人的LV,并研究了一系列协变量。

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