Foley Patrick, Foley Janet E, Levy Julie K, Paik Terry
Department of Biological Sciences, California State University, Sacramento, CA 95819, USA.
J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2005 Dec 1;227(11):1775-81. doi: 10.2460/javma.2005.227.1775.
To evaluate 2 county trap-neuter-return (TNR) programs for feral cat population management via mathematical modeling.
Theoretical population model.
Feral cats assessed from 1992 to 2003 in San Diego County, California (n = 14,452), and from 1998 to 2004 in Alachua County, Florida (11,822).
Data were analyzed with a mathematical Ricker model to describe population dynamics of the feral cats and modifications to the dynamics that occurred as a result of the TNR programs.
In both counties, results of analyses did not indicate a consistent reduction in per capita growth, the population multiplier, or the proportion of female cats that were pregnant.
Success of feral cat management programs that use TNR can be monitored with an easily collected set of data and statistical analyses facilitated by population modeling techniques. Results may be used to suggest possible future monitoring and modification of TNR programs, which could result in greater success controlling and reducing feral cat populations.
通过数学建模评估2个县的野猫诱捕-绝育-放归(TNR)项目对野猫种群的管理效果。
理论种群模型。
1992年至2003年在加利福尼亚州圣地亚哥县评估的野猫(n = 14452只),以及1998年至2004年在佛罗里达州阿拉楚阿县评估的野猫(11822只)。
使用数学里克模型分析数据,以描述野猫的种群动态以及TNR项目实施后种群动态的变化。
在两个县,分析结果均未表明人均增长率、种群倍增系数或怀孕母猫比例持续下降。
使用TNR的野猫管理项目的成效可通过一组易于收集的数据及种群建模技术辅助的统计分析进行监测。研究结果可用于为未来TNR项目的监测和调整提供建议,这可能会在控制和减少野猫种群数量方面取得更大成功。