Model-based evaluation of diabetic foot prevention strategies in Austria.

Diabetes mellitus affects approximately 171 million individuals worldwide. The costs of the adult form of diabetic mellitus account for up to 6% of total health care expenditures in industrialized countries. About 25% of these diabetics develop disabling and most painful foot complications accounting for about 17% of the direct lifetime costs. Diabetic foot prevention programs have been recently introduced in some Austrian federal states to meet the diabetic health targets of the Austrian Health Plan and the St. Vincent Declaration. We developed a new age-group specific Markov model combined with a Monte Carlo simulation model to help policymakers analyze the cost-effectiveness of such programs compared to the status quo in terms of incremental costs per quality-adjusted life years gained (QALY). The Markov model revealed that diabetic foot prevention programs were cost saving when targeted at patients at high risk and mainly cost-effective when targeted at patients with mild symptoms. The Monte Carlo simulation showed that only large scope prevention programs would fulfill the specified reductions in the number of diabetic foot complications as defined in the Austrian Health Plan and the St. Vincent Declaration. Our results clearly indicate the enormous impact of diabetic foot prevention programs.