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城市社区中呼吸系统症状作为全因死亡率预测指标的30年随访研究

Respiratory symptoms as predictors of all-cause mortality in an urban community: a 30-year follow-up.

作者信息

Frostad A, Søyseth V, Andersen A, Gulsvik A

机构信息

Cancer Registry of Norway, Montebello, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

J Intern Med. 2006 May;259(5):520-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2796.2006.01631.x.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the relationship between respiratory symptoms and mortality from all causes in a large Norwegian population. We also examined mortality during separate periods of follow-up.

DESIGN

Population-based, prospective cohort study.

SETTING AND SUBJECTS

A total of 19,998 men and women were randomly selected from the general population of Oslo. They received a postal respiratory questionnaire. The response rate was 88%.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The relationship between 11 respiratory symptoms and 30 years of total mortality was investigated separately for men and women by multivariate analyses with adjustment for age, smoking habits and occupational exposure to air pollution.

RESULTS

The relative mortality risk in comparison with asymptomatic subjects varied from 1.36 (95% confidence interval 1.25-1.48) for cough symptoms to 2.46 (2.13-2.85) for severe dyspnoea amongst men; the corresponding rates amongst women were 1.28 (1.16-1.40) and 1.52 (1.31-1.75), respectively. The relative risk of mortality in individuals with 1-3, 4-6 and 7 or more symptoms was 1.20, 1.60 and 2.53 (P for trend 0.000) in men and 1.14, 1.47 and 1.84 (P for trend 0.000) in women. Except for cough, the mortality rates associated with respiratory symptoms decreased significantly during follow-up. The positive association between respiratory symptoms and mortality was observed in people with and without cardiopulmonary diseases.

CONCLUSIONS

Respiratory symptoms were significant predictors of mortality from all causes over 30 years, decreased during follow-up and were still increased after 30 years.

摘要

目的

我们在挪威一大群人中调查了呼吸系统症状与全因死亡率之间的关系。我们还研究了不同随访期的死亡率。

设计

基于人群的前瞻性队列研究。

地点与研究对象

从奥斯陆普通人群中随机选取了19998名男性和女性。他们收到了一份邮寄的呼吸问卷。回复率为88%。

主要观察指标

通过多变量分析,对年龄、吸烟习惯和职业性空气污染暴露进行校正,分别研究了男性和女性中11种呼吸系统症状与30年总死亡率之间的关系。

结果

与无症状受试者相比,男性咳嗽症状的相对死亡风险为1.36(95%置信区间1.25 - 1.48),严重呼吸困难的相对死亡风险为2.46(2.13 - 2.85);女性相应的比率分别为1.28(1.16 - 1.40)和1.52(1.31 - 1.75)。有1 - 3种、4 - 6种和7种及以上症状的个体的死亡相对风险在男性中分别为1.20、1.60和2.53(趋势P值为0.000),在女性中分别为1.14、1.47和1.84(趋势P值为0.000)。除咳嗽外,随访期间与呼吸系统症状相关的死亡率显著下降。在有和没有心肺疾病的人群中均观察到呼吸系统症状与死亡率之间的正相关。

结论

呼吸系统症状是30年全因死亡率的重要预测因素,随访期间有所下降,但30年后仍有所升高。

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