Fisher Deborah A
Am J Gastroenterol. 2006 Apr;101(4):753-4. doi: 10.1111/j.1572-0241.2006.00489.x.
Drake et al. constructed a decision model to compare, in an older population, the costs and 2-yr survival rates of elective cholecystectomy versus expectant management after endoscopic removal of common bile duct (CBD) stones. The base case analysis indicated that the expectant management strategy dominated (less expensive and more effective) the elective surgery strategy. Sensitivity analysis suggested that the two strategies likely had equivalent effectiveness and that results were sensitive to the rate of recurrent biliary symptoms. Patient preferences for the different strategies (i.e., utilities) were not included in the model but are important to elicit and consider in clinical practice.
德雷克等人构建了一个决策模型,以比较老年人群中,择期胆囊切除术与内镜下取出胆总管结石后保守治疗的成本及2年生存率。基础病例分析表明,保守治疗策略优于(成本更低且更有效)择期手术策略。敏感性分析表明,两种策略可能具有同等疗效,且结果对复发性胆部症状的发生率敏感。该模型未纳入患者对不同策略的偏好(即效用),但在临床实践中了解并考虑这些偏好很重要。