Berrington de González Amy, Spencer Elizabeth A, Bueno-de-Mesquita H Bas, Roddam Andrew, Stolzenberg-Solomon Rachel, Halkjaer Jytte, Tjønneland Anne, Overvad Kim, Clavel-Chapelon Francoise, Boutron-Ruault Marie-Christine, Boeing Heiner, Pischon Tobias, Linseisen Jakob, Rohrmann Sabine, Trichopoulou Antonia, Benetou Vassiliki, Papadimitriou Aristoteles, Pala Valeria, Palli Domenico, Panico Salvatore, Tumino Rosario, Vineis Paolo, Boshuizen Hendriek C, Ocke Marga C, Peeters Petra H, Lund Eiliv, Gonzalez Carlos A, Larrañaga Nerea, Martinez-Garcia Carmen, Mendez Michelle, Navarro Carmen, Quirós J Ramón, Tormo María-José, Hallmans Göran, Ye Weimin, Bingham Sheila A, Khaw Kay-Tee, Allen Naomi, Key Tim J, Jenab Mazda, Norat Teresa, Ferrari Pietro, Riboli Elio
Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Richard Doll Building, Roosevelt Drive, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2006 May;15(5):879-85. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-05-0800.
Tobacco smoking is the only established risk factor for pancreatic cancer. Results from several epidemiologic studies have suggested that increased body mass index and/or lack of physical activity may be associated with an increased risk of this disease. We examined the relationship between anthropometry and physical activity recorded at baseline and the risk of pancreatic cancer in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (n = 438,405 males and females age 19-84 years and followed for a total of 2,826,070 person-years). Relative risks (RR) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models stratified by age, sex, and country and adjusted for smoking and self-reported diabetes and, where appropriate, height. In total, there were 324 incident cases of pancreatic cancer diagnosed in the cohort over an average of 6 years of follow-up. There was evidence that the RR of pancreatic cancer was associated with increased height [RR, 1.74; 95% confidence interval (95% CI), 1.20-2.52] for highest quartile compared with lowest quartile (P(trend) = 0.001). However, this trend was primarily due to a low risk in the lowest quartile, as when this group was excluded, the trend was no longer statistically significant (P = 0.27). A larger waist-to-hip ratio and waist circumference were both associated with an increased risk of developing the disease (RR per 0.1, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.04-1.48; P(trend) = 0.02 and RR per 10 cm, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.01-1.26; P(trend) = 0.03, respectively). There was a nonsignificant increased risk of pancreatic cancer with increasing body mass index (RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.95-1.24 per 5 kg/m(2)), and a nonsignificant decreased risk with total physical activity (RR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.50-1.35 for most active versus inactive). Future studies should consider including measurements of waist and hip circumference, to further investigate the relationship between central adiposity and the risk of pancreatic cancer.
吸烟是胰腺癌唯一已确定的风险因素。多项流行病学研究结果表明,体重指数增加和/或缺乏体育活动可能与该疾病风险增加有关。我们在欧洲癌症与营养前瞻性调查(涉及438405名年龄在19 - 84岁的男性和女性,总计随访2826070人年)中,研究了基线时记录的人体测量指标和体育活动与胰腺癌风险之间的关系。使用Cox比例风险模型计算相对风险(RR),按年龄、性别和国家分层,并对吸烟、自我报告的糖尿病以及(适当情况下)身高进行了调整。在平均6年的随访期内,该队列中总共确诊了324例胰腺癌病例。有证据表明,与最低四分位数相比,最高四分位数的胰腺癌RR与身高增加有关[RR,1.74;95%置信区间(95%CI),1.20 - 2.52](P趋势 = 0.001)。然而,这一趋势主要是由于最低四分位数的风险较低,因为当排除该组时,该趋势不再具有统计学意义(P = 0.27)。较大的腰臀比和腰围均与患该疾病的风险增加有关(每0.1的RR,1.24;95%CI,1.04 - 1.48;P趋势 = 0.02,每10厘米的RR,1.13;95%CI,1.01 - 1.26;P趋势 = 0.03)。体重指数增加时,胰腺癌风险有非显著性增加(每5kg/m²的RR,1.09;95%CI,0.95 - 1.24),而总体体育活动增加时,风险有非显著性降低(最活跃组与不活跃组相比的RR,0.82;95%CI,0.50 - 1.35)。未来的研究应考虑纳入腰围和臀围测量,以进一步研究中心性肥胖与胰腺癌风险之间的关系。