Liu Xingyuan, Chen Quangong, Liang Tiangang, Guo Zhenggang, Chai Qi
Laboratory of Grassland Agro-Ecosystenz of Agriculture Ministry, College of Pastoral Agricultural Science and Technology, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730020, China.
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2006 Feb;17(2):215-20.
It is of significance to establish an integrated evaluation system of snow disaster in northern pastoral areas. Based on the NOAA satellite digital images, field observation data, and maps of grassland type and seasonal pastureland, this paper selected the winter and spring pasturelands in Aletai region of Xinjiang as the main area of snow disaster-remote sensing monitoring. With affecting factors of economy and the characteristics of natural resource distribution comprehensively analyzed, and using 3S techniques and field survey information, a fundamental information processing model for integrated evaluation of snow disaster was built up, and snow disaster-spatial evaluation indices and damage level systems were constructed. Natural and social systems and 20 indices were selected in snow disaster evaluation indicator system. Four principal factors, i.e., snow cover area, snow depth on grassland, persistence days of low temperature, and livestock death rate, were used as the grading indices of snow disaster damage level, and the models of snow disaster identification and loss estimatation were set up to quantitatively analyze snow disaster. The results indicated that the system could accurately reflect the details of snow hazard grade and the situation of a disaster in temporal and spatial scales, which would help to carry out the dynamic monitoring and scientific estimatation of big area's snow disaster in pastoral region.
建立北方牧区雪灾综合评估体系具有重要意义。本文基于美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)卫星数字图像、实地观测数据以及草地类型图和季节牧场图,选取新疆阿勒泰地区冬春牧场作为雪灾遥感监测的主要区域。综合分析经济影响因素和自然资源分布特征,利用3S技术和实地调查信息,建立了雪灾综合评估的基础信息处理模型,构建了雪灾空间评估指标和灾情等级体系。雪灾评估指标体系选取了自然和社会系统以及20个指标。选取积雪面积、草地积雪深度、低温持续天数和牲畜死亡率4个主要因子作为雪灾灾情等级的分级指标,建立了雪灾识别与损失估算模型,对雪灾进行定量分析。结果表明,该体系能够准确反映雪灾等级细节以及时空尺度上的灾情状况,有助于对牧区大面积雪灾进行动态监测和科学评估。