Wu Zhuochun, Viisainen Kirsi, Hemminki Elina
School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Reprod Health Matters. 2006 May;14(27):172-80. doi: 10.1016/S0968-8080(06)27222-7.
This study analysed the relative contributions of three possible determinants to the high sex ratio among newborns in rural China - under-reporting of female births, abortions of female fetuses and excess early female neonatal mortality. A cohort of 3,697 pregnancies collected at village level in 20 rural townships from a county in Anhui province in 1999 was followed from pregnancy registration to seven days after birth. The cohort was later completed with 267 retroactively registered pregnancies. In the original cohort, the sex ratio at birth was 152 males to 100 females and in the supplemented cohort 159 males to 100 females, being similar to the sex ratios in the census data of the same townships. The risk of death for girls was almost three times that for boys during the first 24 hours of life. A comparison of the estimated number of missing girls by parity and pregnancy approval status to the recorded abortions and stillbirths suggests that selective abortions of female fetuses contributed most to the extremely high sex ratio among newborns. The under-reporting of female live births and neglect or poorer care of female newborn infants seemed to play a secondary role. New technology has helped the one-child policy to become, in practice, an "at-least-one-son" practice.
本研究分析了中国农村新生儿性别比偏高的三个可能决定因素的相对影响——女婴出生漏报、女胎流产以及女婴早期超额死亡率。1999年,在安徽省某县20个乡镇的村级层面收集了3697例妊娠案例,并对其从妊娠登记追踪至出生后七天。该队列后来补充了267例追溯登记的妊娠案例。在原始队列中,出生性别比为每100名女婴对应152名男婴,补充队列中的出生性别比为每100名女婴对应159名男婴,与同一乡镇的人口普查数据中的性别比相似。在出生后的头24小时内,女婴的死亡风险几乎是男婴的三倍。将按胎次和妊娠审批状况估算的女婴缺失数量与记录的流产和死产情况进行比较后发现,女胎选择性流产对新生儿性别比极高的情况影响最大。女婴活产漏报以及对女婴新生儿的忽视或较差护理似乎起到次要作用。新技术实际上已促使独生子女政策变成了“至少生一个儿子”的政策。