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挪威韦勒岛社区伤害预防的长期影响:20年随访

Long-term effects of community-based injury prevention on the island of Vaerøy in Norway: a 20-year follow up.

作者信息

Tellnes Gunnar, Lund Johan, Sandvik Leiv, Klouman Elise, Ytterstad Børge

机构信息

Department of General Practice and Community Medicine, University of Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Scand J Public Health. 2006;34(3):312-9. doi: 10.1080/14034940500414774.

Abstract

AIM

A multifactorial injury prevention programme started in 1981 and ran for about 10 years in an island community in Norway with a population of about 1,000. A study was undertaken to evaluate effects of the programme over a period of 20 years.

METHODS

Injuries were recorded by the one medical doctor on the island for several years during the period 1970-2001. The programme was carried out very intensively from 1981 to 1987. The intensity gradually decreased to a medium level that lasted until about 1994, when it was further reduced to a low level.

RESULTS

The injury incidence rate was reduced from 17.7% in 1980 (n = 188) to 9.7% in 1987 (n = 97) with relative risk reduced to 0.55 (95% CI 0.44-0.70, p < 0.0001). In 2001, an incidence rate of 9.6% was observed (n = 91). An even higher reduction was observed for serious injuries. The age groups 15-24 and 65+ showed the most distinct reductions from 1980 to 2001 while minor reduction was observed in children (0-14 years). The incidence rate of traffic injuries was reduced by 77% in spite of an increase in the number of motor vehicles. Occupational, home, and other injuries were reduced by 38%, 35%, and 49% respectively. The incidence rates were 2.6-3.0 times higher for men than for women through the 20-year observation period.

CONCLUSION

This study indicates that a long-lasting multifactorial community-based intervention in a small community with defined aims may lead to a considerable and long-lasting reduction in injuries.

摘要

目的

一项多因素伤害预防计划于1981年启动,在挪威一个约有1000人口的岛屿社区实施了约10年。开展了一项研究以评估该计划在20年期间的效果。

方法

1970年至2001年期间,该岛的一名医生记录了数年的伤害情况。该计划在1981年至1987年期间密集实施。强度逐渐降至中等水平并持续到1994年左右,之后进一步降至低水平。

结果

伤害发生率从1980年的17.7%(n = 188)降至1987年的9.7%(n = 97),相对风险降至0.55(95%可信区间0.44 - 0.70,p < 0.0001)。2001年,观察到的发生率为9.6%(n = 91)。重伤的减少更为明显。1980年至2001年期间,15 - 24岁和65岁以上年龄组的减少最为显著,而儿童(0 - 14岁)的减少较小。尽管机动车数量增加,但交通伤害发生率仍降低了77%。职业伤害、家庭伤害和其他伤害分别降低了38%、35%和49%。在20年的观察期内,男性的发生率比女性高2.6至3.0倍。

结论

本研究表明,在一个小社区中进行的、具有明确目标的长期多因素社区干预可能会导致伤害显著且持久地减少。

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