Leese Morven, Thomas Stuart, Snow Louisa
Health Services Research Department, P029, Institute of Psychiatry, Kings College London, De Crespigny Park, Denmark Hill, London, SE5 8AF, UK.
Int J Law Psychiatry. 2006 Sep-Oct;29(5):355-60. doi: 10.1016/j.ijlp.2005.10.004. Epub 2006 Jun 14.
This study describes ecological associations between self-inflicted death rates and prison-level environmental indicators over the period 2000-2002 in England and Wales. The objective was to assist in the development of interventions for reducing the incidence of self-inflicted deaths in prisons in England and Wales, by identifying risk factors, including overcrowding, positive drug tests, the number of assaults, purposeful activity, offending behaviour programmes, and cost per prisoner. Poisson regression was used to estimate associations between self-inflicted death rates and these potential risk factors, controlling for different categories of prison. The annual rate of self-inflicted death during 2000-2002 was 1.14 per 1000 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.34), with no evidence for a difference in the two years. Highest rates were in the Male Local and Women's prisons at 1.86 (95% CI 1.42 to 2.26) and 2.27 (95% CI 1.35 to 3.84) per 1000 respectively. In a multivariate analysis, overcrowding, assault rate and purposeful activity were significant. In an analysis controlling also for prison category, only purposeful activity remained independently significant, as a protective factor (RR 0.57, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.92, p=0.02) with weaker evidence for a positive association with positive drug tests (RR 1.41, 95% CI 0.96 to 2.05, p=0.08). Despite concerns about the quality of routinely collected data and the interpretation of ecological associations, this study suggests that a higher level of purposeful activity is independently associated with lower rates of self-inflicted death, whatever the prison category. This adds support to other studies conducted at the level of the individual prisoner.
本研究描述了2000年至2002年期间英格兰和威尔士自残死亡率与监狱层面环境指标之间的生态关联。目的是通过识别包括过度拥挤、毒品检测呈阳性、攻击事件数量、有目的活动、犯罪行为项目以及每名囚犯成本在内的风险因素,协助制定干预措施以降低英格兰和威尔士监狱中自残死亡的发生率。使用泊松回归估计自残死亡率与这些潜在风险因素之间的关联,并对不同类别的监狱进行控制。2000年至2002年期间自残死亡的年发生率为每1000人中有1.14例(95%置信区间0.98至1.34),两年间无差异证据。男性地方监狱和女子监狱的发生率最高,分别为每1000人中有1.86例(95%置信区间1.42至2.26)和2.27例(95%置信区间1.35至3.84)。在多变量分析中,过度拥挤、攻击率和有目的活动具有显著性。在同时控制监狱类别的分析中,只有有目的活动作为保护因素仍具有独立显著性(风险比0.57,95%置信区间0.35至0.92,p = 0.02),与毒品检测呈阳性呈正相关的证据较弱(风险比1.41,95%置信区间0.96至2.05,p = 0.08)。尽管对常规收集数据的质量和生态关联的解释存在担忧,但本研究表明,无论监狱类别如何,较高水平的有目的活动与较低的自残死亡率独立相关。这为在个体囚犯层面进行的其他研究提供了支持。