Beck Harold L, Anspaugh Lynn R, Bouville André, Simon Steven L
Radiat Res. 2006 Jul;166(1 Pt 2):209-18. doi: 10.1667/RR3172.1.
Methods to assess radiation doses from nuclear weapons test fallout have been used to estimate doses to populations and individuals in a number of studies. However, only a few epidemiology studies have relied on fallout dose estimates. Though the methods for assessing doses from local and regional compared to global fallout are similar, there are significant differences in predicted doses and contributing radionuclides depending on the source of the fallout, e.g. whether the nuclear debris originated in Nevada at the U.S. nuclear test site or whether it originated at other locations worldwide. The sparse historical measurement data available are generally sufficient to estimate external exposure doses reasonably well. However, reconstruction of doses to body organs from ingestion and inhalation of radionuclides is significantly more complex and is almost always more uncertain than are external dose estimates. Internal dose estimates are generally based on estimates of the ground deposition per unit area of specific radionuclides and subsequent transport of radionuclides through the food chain. A number of technical challenges to correctly modeling deposition of fallout under wet and dry atmospheric conditions still remain, particularly at close-in locations where sizes of deposited particles vary significantly over modest changes in distance. This paper summarizes the various methods of dose estimation from weapons test fallout and the most important dose assessment and epidemiology studies that have relied on those methods.
在许多研究中,已采用评估核武器试验沉降物辐射剂量的方法来估算人群和个体所受剂量。然而,仅有少数流行病学研究依赖沉降物剂量估算。尽管评估局部和区域沉降物剂量的方法与全球沉降物剂量评估方法相似,但根据沉降物来源的不同,例如核碎片是源自美国内华达核试验场还是世界其他地点,预测剂量和相关放射性核素存在显著差异。现有的稀少历史测量数据通常足以较好地合理估算外照射剂量。然而,通过摄入和吸入放射性核素对人体器官剂量的重建要复杂得多,而且几乎总是比外照射剂量估算更具不确定性。内照射剂量估算通常基于特定放射性核素单位面积地面沉积量的估算以及放射性核素随后在食物链中的转移。在正确模拟干湿大气条件下的沉降物沉积方面仍存在一些技术挑战,特别是在近距离区域,沉积颗粒大小会随距离的适度变化而显著不同。本文总结了从武器试验沉降物中估算剂量的各种方法,以及依赖这些方法的最重要的剂量评估和流行病学研究情况。