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一家三级医院的感染性心内膜炎:急性死亡率降低但长期预后不佳。

Endocarditis at a tertiary hospital: reduced acute mortality but poor long term prognosis.

作者信息

Tran Cao Thach, Kjeldsen Keld

机构信息

Laboratory for Molecular Cardiology, Medical Department B, The Heart Centre, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.

出版信息

Scand J Infect Dis. 2006;38(8):664-70. doi: 10.1080/00365540600585180.

Abstract

The outcome in 132 patients with infective endocarditis diagnosed in accordance with the Duke criteria at a tertiary hospital in Denmark in the period 1998-2000 is reported. The total in-hospital mortality was 15%. Indications are that in-hospital mortality over the last decade has been reduced by around a quarter. Mortality after 3 months was 17% (CI 29%), after 3 years 32% (CI 16-47%) and after 5 years 39% (CI 22-55%). This 5-years mortality was 5 times that of an age and gender matched background population. After follow-up for 5-8 y, mortality was highest for prosthetic valve endocarditis (63% vs. 39%, p = 0.05). Heart surgery was performed in 51% of the cases. Patients who underwent surgery had a lower mortality at follow-up (36% vs. 52%, p = 0.04). The 5-year mortality was 30% (CI 9-52%) for patients treated with surgery and 48% (CI 23-72%) for patients treated without surgery. In multivariable analysis surgery was not an independent predictor for lower long-term mortality. Surgery was however an independent predictor for lower intermediate-term mortality. It is concluded that surgery may be associated with lower short- and intermediate-term mortality, while the effect might decline in the long-term. High age, prosthetic valve endocarditis, and Staphylococcus aureus endocarditis were independent predictors for high mortality. Although improvements have occurred over recent years, infective endocarditis is still a high mortality disease.

摘要

报告了1998 - 2000年期间在丹麦一家三级医院按照杜克标准诊断的132例感染性心内膜炎患者的治疗结果。住院总死亡率为15%。有迹象表明,过去十年的住院死亡率降低了约四分之一。3个月后的死亡率为17%(可信区间29%),3年后为32%(可信区间16 - 47%),5年后为39%(可信区间22 - 55%)。这一5年死亡率是年龄和性别匹配的背景人群的5倍。随访5 - 8年后,人工瓣膜心内膜炎的死亡率最高(63%对39%,p = 0.05)。51%的病例进行了心脏手术。接受手术的患者随访时死亡率较低(36%对52%,p = 0.04)。接受手术治疗的患者5年死亡率为30%(可信区间9 - 52%),未接受手术治疗的患者为48%(可信区间23 - 72%)。在多变量分析中,手术不是较低长期死亡率的独立预测因素。然而,手术是较低中期死亡率的独立预测因素。得出的结论是,手术可能与较低的短期和中期死亡率相关,而长期效果可能会下降。高龄、人工瓣膜心内膜炎和金黄色葡萄球菌心内膜炎是高死亡率的独立预测因素。尽管近年来有所改善,但感染性心内膜炎仍然是一种高死亡率疾病。

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