Boden L A, Anderson G A, Charles J A, Morgan K L, Morton J M, Parkin T D H, Slocombe R F, Clarke A F
Department of Veterinary Science, The University of Melbourne, Werribee, Victoria, Australia.
Equine Vet J. 2006 Jul;38(4):312-8. doi: 10.2746/042516406777749182.
Determining the risk of fatality of Thoroughbred horses while racing is essential to assess the impact of intervention measures designed to minimise such fatalities.
To measure the risk of racehorse fatality in jump and flat starts on racecourses in Victoria, Australia, over a 15 year period and to determine proportional mortality rates for specific causes of death.
All fatalities of Thoroughbred horses that occurred during or within 24 h of a race were identified from a database. The risk of a start resulting in a racehorse fatality in all races and within flat and jump races, proportional mortality rates, population attributable risk, population attributable fraction and risk ratios were calculated along with 95% confidence intervals. Poisson regression was also performed to estimate risk ratios.
There were 514 fatalities over the 15 year period; 316 in flat races and 198 in jump races. The risk of fatality was 0.44 per 1000 flat starts and 8.3 per 1000 jump starts (18.9 x greater). The risk of fatality on city tracks was 1.1 per 1000 starts whereas on country tracks it was 0.57 per 1000 starts. Of the 316 fatalities in flat races, 73.4% were due to limb injury, 2.5% to cranial or vertebral injury and 19.0% were sudden deaths. Of the 198 fatalities in jump races, 68.7% were due to limb injury, 16.2% to cranial or vertebral injury and 3.5% were sudden deaths. The risk of fatality in flat starts increased between 1989 and 2004 but the risk in jump starts remained unchanged over the 15 year period.
The risk of fatality in flat starts was lower in Victoria than North America and the UK but the risk in jump starts was greater. Catastrophic limb injury was the major reason for racehorse fatality in Victoria but there was a larger percentage of sudden deaths than has been reported overseas. The risk of fatality in jump starts remained constant over the study period despite jump racing reviews that recommended changes to hurdle and steeple races to improve safety.
This study provides important benchmarks for the racing industry to monitor racetrack fatalities and evaluate intervention strategies.
确定纯种马在比赛时的死亡风险对于评估旨在尽量减少此类死亡的干预措施的影响至关重要。
测量澳大利亚维多利亚州各赛马场15年间平地赛和障碍赛中赛马死亡的风险,并确定特定死因的比例死亡率。
从一个数据库中识别出在比赛期间或比赛后24小时内发生的所有纯种马死亡事件。计算了所有比赛以及平地赛和障碍赛中导致赛马死亡的起跑风险、比例死亡率、人群归因风险、人群归因分数和风险比,并给出95%置信区间。还进行了泊松回归以估计风险比。
在这15年期间共有514例死亡;平地赛中有316例,障碍赛中有198例。平地赛每1000次起跑的死亡风险为0.44,障碍赛每1000次起跑的死亡风险为8.3(高出18.9倍)。城市赛道上每1000次起跑的死亡风险为1.1,而乡村赛道上为每1000次起跑0.57。在平地赛的316例死亡中,73.4% 是由于肢体损伤,2.5% 是由于颅脑或脊椎损伤,19.0% 是猝死。在障碍赛的198例死亡中,68.7% 是由于肢体损伤,16.2% 是由于颅脑或脊椎损伤,3.5% 是猝死。1989年至2004年间平地赛起跑时的死亡风险增加,但障碍赛起跑时的风险在这15年期间保持不变。
维多利亚州平地赛起跑时的死亡风险低于北美和英国,但障碍赛起跑时的风险更高。灾难性肢体损伤是维多利亚州赛马死亡的主要原因,但猝死的比例高于海外报道。尽管障碍赛审查建议对跨栏赛和障碍赛进行改革以提高安全性,但在研究期间障碍赛起跑时的死亡风险保持不变。
本研究为赛马行业监测赛道死亡情况和评估干预策略提供了重要基准。