Boden L A, Anderson G A, Charles J A, Morgan K L, Morton J M, Parkin T D H, Clarke A F, Slocombe R F
Department of Veterinary Science, The University of Melbourne, 250 Princes Highway, Werribee, Victoria 3030, Australia.
Equine Vet J. 2007 Sep;39(5):430-7. doi: 10.2746/042516407x183162.
Research into risk factors specific for fatality in flat racing should be focused at a regional level as the risk factors may differ among countries and even regions within countries.
To identify risk factors for fatality of Thoroughbred racehorses in flat starts on all racecourses in Victoria, Australia between 1989 and 2004.
Fatalities comprised all horses that died during or immediately after a flat race or official flat trial, and all horses that were subjected to euthanasia within 24 h of an event in which an injury was sustained. The retrospective study involved 283 case starts and 3307 control starts. Univariable and multivariable backward stepwise logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for fatality at any one start.
In the final multivariable model, horse gender, prior racing history, race length, racing year, racecourse location and track rating were associated with fatality.
This study identified specific risk factors for fatality. The findings are consistent with the hypothesis that horses accumulating high speed exercise are predisposed to catastrophic injury. The study has also highlighted the need to investigate further the adverse effects of different track ratings on the incidence of injury and subsequent fatality.
The results will facilitate the development of effective strategies to improve overall safety of horses and jockeys in flat racing in Victoria, Australia.
平地赛马中特定死亡风险因素的研究应聚焦于区域层面,因为不同国家甚至同一国家内的不同地区风险因素可能存在差异。
确定1989年至2004年澳大利亚维多利亚州所有赛马场纯种赛马平地起跑时的死亡风险因素。
死亡马匹包括在平地赛马或官方平地试跑期间或之后立即死亡的所有马匹,以及在受伤事件发生后24小时内实施安乐死的所有马匹。这项回顾性研究涉及283次病例起跑和3307次对照起跑。采用单变量和多变量向后逐步逻辑回归来确定每次起跑时的死亡风险因素。
在最终的多变量模型中,马匹性别、既往参赛历史、赛程长度、参赛年份、赛马场位置和赛道评级与死亡有关。
本研究确定了特定的死亡风险因素。研究结果与以下假设一致,即进行高速运动的马匹易发生灾难性损伤。该研究还强调有必要进一步调查不同赛道评级对损伤发生率及后续死亡的不利影响。
研究结果将有助于制定有效策略,以提高澳大利亚维多利亚州平地赛马中马匹和骑师的整体安全性。